The Wall Street Journal
January 11, 2007
Democrats' Litmus: Electability
Key Issue for 2008 Race Poses Hurdles for Clinton, Obama
By JACKIE CALMES
January 11, 2007; Page A6
WASHINGTON -- For a party long known for subjecting presidential wannabes to a battery of litmus tests, on issues from abortion to trade, Democrats are uniting in raising one big issue for 2008: electability. Who can win? That question is paramount for many activists, donors and voters, desperate to reclaim the White House. And it's one that poses a big hurdle for both Democratic front-runners, Sens. Hillary Clinton of New York and Barack Obama of Illinois.
Widespread concerns about whether either could get elected -- Mrs. Clinton because she is a woman, and a polarizing figure; Mr. Obama for being African-American, and relatively inexperienced -- potentially prevent either from running away with the Democratic nomination. That, in turn, is what keeps hope alive for about a half-dozen rivals maneuvering for advantage should the leaders stumble. Of that pack, polls and early organization suggest the best-positioned is former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards, the 2004 vice-presidential nominee. Today Sen. Chris Dodd of Connecticut officially joins the race with his announcement on the syndicated radio show "Imus in the Morning."
The three Republican front-runners -- Arizona Sen. John McCain, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani -- have the opposite problem of their Democratic counterparts. Each of them is considered electable. The question is whether they can get nominated in a party in which the conservative base demands that the nominee oppose abortion, same-sex marriage and taxes, but believes that each of these men is suspect.
For their part, Democratic activists and voters alike have become more pragmatic than any time in decades, which many in the party attribute to the chastening effect of recent years out of power in Washington and many statehouses. As for the liberals who make up Democrats' base, for all their passion about jobs and global trade, health care, the environment, abortion and gay rights and especially the war, these days the left cares "big time" about whether a candidate can get elected, says Robert Borosage, co-director of the union-supported advocacy group Campaign for America's Future.
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Last year's midterm elections, which gave Democrats a majority in Congress for the first time in 12 years, offered a preview of their party's pragmatic bent. Primary voters chose a number of moderate-to-conservative Democrats over liberal stalwarts for the party's nominations, to increase the chances of winning Republican-held suburban and Western seats... Yet Mr. Kerry wasn't elected. And that has other Democrats, in particular Clinton and Obama advocates, warning against taking the electability test too far. Neither Mrs. Clinton nor Mr. Obama has announced for president, though both are expected to create exploratory committees this month.
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