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Like you did, I'll ignore Clark and Gore as they have no declared.
If I were polled tomorrow, I would say Dodd. I need to know more about him because I haven't yet really looked at his record. In addition to the things mentioned, I have been impressed with him in the SFRC, which I've watched over the last 2 years. He has been on that committee for over 22 years as he outranks Kerry. His Senate speech on the torture bill was excellent, and as Kerry was, he is unequivical on "NO TORTURE". I caught some comments from him on abuses in the credit card industry from the banking committee, which he chairs.
Your summary of Biden suffices and elegantly says what needs to be said.
I can rule out supporting Clinton completely in the primaries. The media and the powers in the party got their way in eliminating the best statesmman, who has led on every issue since 2004. To all those who parrot the CW that Kerry was too mistake prone - look at Hillary vs Kerry since 2006. Kerry left out one word in a joke written for him. Hillary since September:
- Told the NY Daily News that torture would be "appropriate" in a specific case that was described after she voted against the torture bill. This let McCain pretend his bill really did outlaw terror - which it doesn't - get on the "moral" side.
- Said that Bush is irreponsible if he doesn't clean up his mess in Iraq before he leaves office. In 2006, Hillary criticized the fact that Kerry set a deadline, implying his deadline which was based on time frames the military and the Iraqis spoke of, was arbitray. But 2009 is arbitrary with regards to Iraq.
- The "bad and evil" man comment is more of a botched joke than Kerry's. Kerry's committment to the troops is well documented and extends back decades. If only Kerry and the people currently announced ran, he would - joke included - likely win more of the Democratic vets than the others - just as he did in 2004. I doubt Hillary was intending to reference Bill, but there is more reason to think that was the case than to misuse logic in the case of Kerry's statement. The result is that it brings up the whole Bill mess - which is a very real liability.
Those are reasons that I think she (not Kerry, who actually had very few gaffes while under a spotlight in 2004-2006) will be gaffe prone. More importantly, I can not support her because, unlike in 1992, because the Clintons are too unethical. This goes beyond, my anger that she stabbed John Kerry in the back. (I think the "HeyJohn" think that very likely came from them was far worse - it was amoral and it was done as Kerry was working his heart out to get Democratic victories.) Another reason is that people associated with them sat on their hands in 2004 - hoping for 2008. Knowing who Bush was this was amoral. They could have tried an alternative, back Kerry 100%, knowing that he would likely have a very tough time with fixing Bush's mess and would gat blamed for it. Hillary could then challange him in the primaries. Instead they gave us Bush. Kerry deserved a unified party behind him - it was important to win.
I differ on Edwards and Obama. Because Edwards ran in 2004, Obama is newer, but when you really look at their resumes - his experience excedes Edwards, except Edwards ran a national race. Here is an attempt to compare their careers:
Legislative: Edwards - a 6 year Senate term where 2 years were also spent running for higher office Obama - in Senate since Jan 2005, 8 (??) years in the Illnois Senate If anything, this gives a slight advantage to Obama.
In terms of record, Obama's is far more progressive. (Edwards' record is at major variance with his current issues. He was hawkish while in the Senate (and now sounds that way on Iran), he had a mediocre environmental record (LCV in the 60s and from when I looked at his votes in 2004, I didn't like several), and he voted for the 2001 bankrutcy bill (obviously before he adopted poverty as an issue.)
Activism: Obama - was an on the ground advocate for 3 years when he was out of law school and he was a civil rights lawyer. Edwards - since 2004, he has positioned himself as being an activist. (Though even as a sitting Senator, Kerry was far more convincing working to build grassroots for the party. Edwards had no substantial history as an activist before he ran for office. (Every high powered person joins charity boards - I assume (but don't know) that he did this - I'm not saying he was a bad citizen, just that he was not an activist.)
Law: They were both lawyers, but their experience is extemely different. Edwards : Trial lawyer, who did help people who were hurt by companies. Obama: Civil Rights lawyer and a University of Chicago Law proffesor and expert in constitutional law. (just as in 2004, where I was more impressed with Kerry being a prosecutor and public servant, I see Obama's experience here as leading to the level of depth I want in a President.
Until last week, I saw no reason to consider anyone other than Senator Kerry. I feel that there is no hurry to find a candidate now. I had thought that, if people ultimately reject Hillary, Kerry could win because with the world in a mess, his foreign policy expertise would once debates started would let him emerge as the best anti-Hillary. The question is whether Dodd could get enough money and media to play this role. What seems clear is that the media is usurping the primaries and is trying to chose our candidate for us.
I realize this incoherent. I tried to clean it up and make it more logical - but I realize that it refects where I am now. I think that Dodd is my favorite. If the media and the powers that be restrict our choices to Clinton, Obama or Edwards, my choice is Obama. (Most of the Kerry money people went to Obama. I haven't heard where (if anywhere) his campaign people are going.)
All I know is that the best person win the Presidency in Nov 2008. He will be celbrating his re-election to the Senate from Massachusetts.
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