Obama just 5 points from Hillary. The race is TIGHTENING

[bigdarryl]

But the real surprise is Edwards is dropping and Richardson is gaining http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Political%20Tracking/Democratic%20Primaries/DemocraticPresidentialPrimary.htm
2008 Democratic Presidential Primary

[splat]

1. You're going to wear out by the convention :)

It's like checking your 401k every day -- all that matters is where it is the day you withdraw it.

[Benhurst]

2. I agree. It's too damn early. And our candidates ought to

be at work on the problems facing this pathetic nation, not basking in self-serving, photo op, manufactured campaign events.

[flpoljunkie]

13. It's not too early. Primaries will probably yield our nominee by Feb 5th, 2008.

[Benhurst]

17. Which in itself is too damn early.

A year of following the horse race and candidates trying to puff up their images and pander to various groups is far too long.

And the money spent on our primaries is obscene.

[Ian David]

3. Hillary who?

Oh, Clinton?

Was she running for President too?

I forgot.

[pampango]

4. If Obama does move into first place in the polls at some point in

the future, it will be interesting to see if the number of "anti-Obama" posts surges.

I like all of our candidates, some more than others, but I will be interested to see if the anti-HRC posts diminish and anti-Obama pick up. There seems to be a common sentiment that my candidate, whoever that is other than the front runner, cannot win the primary race unless the current number one is brought down to size. One thing that all of the other candidates can agree on is that the leading candidate needs to be reeled in.

Time will tell, I guess.

[smalll]

20. Obamamentum! /nt

[skipos]

5. I dislike the idea of HRC as our nominee as much as the next guy but

What concerns me is that Dame Rudy beats all of our Dems in these ras polls as well as most polls that I have seen. Even McCain beats many of them in many polls. I hope Mitt Romney or Newt Gingrich is their nominee, as they appear to be much more beatable.

[Alamom]

6. 790

This national telephone survey of 790 Likely Democratic Primary Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports March 12-15, 2007.

[karynnj]

12. That sample size leads to a MOE of 4

Because of that - the series for Edwards could have happened if the true population estimate was a constant between 12 and 13 for the entire time period.

The Obama numbers over the time period have increased.

The Hillary numbers are harder to understand - but she is still the most likely frontrunner.

[texanshatingbush]

7. the "run-up" to election day has started WAY too early.....

problems with this:
1) voter fatigue - are fewer people turning out to vote because they're simply sick of hearing about all the C-R-A-P which passes for politics-as-usual in this country?
2) the longer the run-up, the more opportunity progressive candidates have to eviscerate each other in the primary gauntlet, leaving a severely-wounded progressive candidate to duke it out against the Republican machine, swiftboaters, Faux Noise simulations of true statements, etc.

Perhaps it WOULD be better to have one giant primary, to keep the evisceration period to a minimum and allow us all to get behind the progressive candidate who can rid us of the lying SOB's currently acting as if they have a mandate from The People.

[ShortnFiery]

8. Yes, That is good!

:applause: :yourock: :thumbsup:

[Czolgosz]

9. While most polling is useless at this stage, national polling (with +/- 4 MoE) is even less usefull

Polling in the early caucus and primary states is barely useful, but this national poll is wholly without relevance. Obama moved up 4 points - that is within the margin of error. Hillary moved down 3 points and Edwards 4 points - both movements are also within the margin of error. Richardson is polling at 5% - that means anywhere between 1% and 9%. Even unloved Biden draws 3% (just 2% below where they chart Richardson) in this national poll, which is the equivalent of 0 support to 7%.

[bigdarryl]

10. It's possible that Hillary or Obama won't be the frontrunner's by Feb. 08 because of...

VOTER FATIGUE!!!!!!!

[Arugula Latte]

11. No no no. See -- Hillary is INEVITABLE. Why won't you accept that?

:sarcasm:

[David__77]

14. I don't see either Obama or Clinton as nominee.

I don't think the establishment wants either of them. It will probably be yet another white male. Not what I want, but I just suspect it.

[ellacott]

15. You never answered my private message n/t

[TwilightGardener]

16. Anyone else getting bored of the whole damn thing

like I am? Jesus, every day I watch for interesting stuff to happen, stuff that will ultimately make or break someone's campaign, on either side, but it's too far out for anything to have an impact next January, so why bother? I have campaign fatigue, but I find it hard to stop watching.

[NDP]

18. Yeah, the media is manufacturing just what it wants and people are dumb enough to fall for it

[laugle]

19. Sounds like a right-wing conspiracy! n/t

[ncteechur]

21. It is NOT a race yet. No one has voted.

[smalll]

22. Interesting poll. Nice to see that it's done once a week.

Makes me think though, give a month or so, and the political junkie in me will be hungering for, :hide: well ... "tracking polls" - DAILY!

[Clarkie1]

23. I like the direction things are moving. nt