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John Edwards gets a 9% boost in the polls?!

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BluegrassDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-30-07 11:52 AM
Original message
John Edwards gets a 9% boost in the polls?!
I saw Russert talking about that on Today. Apparently, all the media coverage of Elizabeth's cancer has given his campaign a boost in the polls. I'm not sure which poll though and it's kinda higher than I would've guessed.
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Merlot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-30-07 12:01 PM
Response to Original message
1. I don't think it's the coverage of Elizabeths cancer that is giving the boost
IMO it's the way they (the Edwardses) are handling the situation. Showing true "grace under pressure."
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Frances Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-30-07 12:02 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Could it be the anti-Katie Couric vote?
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ElizabethDC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-30-07 12:05 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. Too true
though Edwards isn't my first choice for the nomination, he's becoming my solid second. I've always admired the Edwardses, and now I appreciate their commitment to public service even more.
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Bucky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-30-07 12:24 PM
Response to Reply #1
7. Well, yes and no. The whole issue has put him back in voters' minds.
Within a month the media will be back to ignoring him (and everyone else who isn't corporate approved).

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Learn2Swim Donating Member (220 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-30-07 07:53 PM
Response to Reply #1
11. I agree.
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The Backlash Cometh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-31-07 10:41 AM
Response to Reply #1
15. Yup. When you think about it, that may be all we have to count on
to pull this country out of the mess we're in and do it with substance and integrity. Reagan did it with showmanship, but no substance, therefore, it was just a very well created bubble.

But managing cancer is exactly what we have to do in this country. Not let it hinder us from doing what we would have been doing, otherwise.

I do have one caveat, and I'll probably post in one day or so, that it's Edward's goodness and strength of character we should be focusing on, and not her illness, because I fear that we're making cancer a sacred cow in this country. Once someone has it, suddenly we dummy up on any criticism, and I hate to tell you, folks, but there are some really bad people out there doing some really bad things and a few of them may end up getting cancer. What do you do then? Let them take off with the booty? What happens if that booty impacts on the future because it sets a bad legal precedent? This isn't conjecture for me. I know it has happened.
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Deja Q Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-30-07 12:02 PM
Response to Original message
3. Logical. Remember when 'The Hitchhiker's Guide to the galaxy' came out in theatres?
A British magazine, SFX, did a poll around the same time period. As a result, the HHGTTG franchise was bolstered a couple points more in their ratings than otherwise would have been.

The new 2005 Doctor Who series - some forums have respondents giving every single story a 5-out-of-5 rating and other polls about "Which Doctor is best?" had the NEWEST one as being the best. (this proves not only such people are thick as a milkshake, but anything new and recently marketed has a psychological influence on its audience.)

Therefore, the fact we have a sob story in the news, the related politician gets a boost. Not an intentional one under these circumstances, but in the psychology industry the same pattern repeats itself.

Whether or not his newfound ratings will stay is another matter.
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Bucky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-30-07 12:26 PM
Response to Reply #3
8. What a fucking obscure analogy! John Edwards as the new Dr Who?
Elizabeth Edwards as Zaphod? Your mind works in the wierdest damned ways, frogboy.
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Ninja Jordan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-30-07 12:02 PM
Response to Original message
4. Is Edwards becoming the #2 again?
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Mass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-30-07 12:16 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. No, Obama is clearly ahead in all the recent polls this week.
However, the fact that his name has been in the news in a positive manner made him more present in people's mind and therefore, in such an early stage, undecided, when pushed, will be more likely to give his name.

However, this poll is fairly unrealistic, with only 4 % of undecided people at this stage. I do not think that supporters of any candidate should take it too seriously.
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npincus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-30-07 04:22 PM
Response to Original message
9. it's the newTimes poll: an "Edwards surge"
http://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,1604469,00.html

http://www.srbi.com/time_poll_arc39.html

There are other interesting developments in the poll. John Edwards has surged among Democrats since he announced that his wife Elizabeth's cancer had recurred. In a three-way matchup, Clinton polls 38% among registered Democrats, versus 30% for Obama and 26% for Edwards. Edwards received just 17% in mid-March.

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Clarkie1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-30-07 07:48 PM
Response to Original message
10. That's what positive media coverage does....like magic. nt
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senseandsensibility Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-30-07 08:53 PM
Response to Original message
12. Take that, Couric!
You phony fluffhead.
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sellitman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-31-07 10:36 AM
Response to Original message
13. He is the only candidate that it seems everyone here could support ..
Edited on Sat Mar-31-07 10:37 AM by sellitman
if he won the primary. I am a Kucinich supporter waiting for Gore to throw his hat in the ring but if John Edwards wins the Primary I will have no problem actively supporting him. I can't say that about anyone else as of now.
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laugle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-31-07 07:30 PM
Response to Reply #13
18. I think you are right on target! nt
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DaveT Donating Member (447 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-31-07 10:41 AM
Response to Original message
14. Polls at this point in the election cycle
are almost meaningless.

The poor sap polltaking dweebs have to call people at home in an era when over two thirds of the population screen their calls. When the dialing system finally hooks them up with a live body, they catch someone who probably has not given much if any real thought to the Democratic Primary race.

At first, more people had heard of Hillary, so she was on top. Then, people in general heard a little bit about the tit for tats between her and Obama, getting Obama's name in the daily news -- and he moved ahead. I have no doubt that Obama is attracting some real support, but I don't think that correlates with his specific poll numbers.

Edwards has been in the news lately, getting the random polling call respondent a reason to think about him. Katie Couric's routine was so thoroughly obnoxious, I'm sure it helped boost Edwards in the minds of many.

So he gets the bump of the month.

It will mean nothing come next January.
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MethuenProgressive Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-31-07 10:58 AM
Response to Original message
16. So... he's up to 9% now?
He's a nice person. She's a nice person.
But as a candidate, he's little more than Mike Dukakis.
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w4rma Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-31-07 12:10 PM
Response to Original message
17. Edwards is building on top of that boost to 17%. His polls are only going to go up. (nt)
Edited on Sat Mar-31-07 12:10 PM by w4rma
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mnhtnbb Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-31-07 09:59 PM
Response to Original message
19. It's the Rasmussen polls. See the thread
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