http://www.afterdowningstreet.org/?q=node/23227Democrats Likely To Harden Anti-War Stance As “Surge” Fails and Election Year Approaches
Submitted by davidswanson on Sat, 2007-06-02 19:56. Congress
By Tom Hayden
Seeking to keep pace with public opinion, key Democratic leaders will soon be considering a peace initiative including full withdrawal from Iraq, revision of the United Nations authorization, and a diplomatic offensive to engage other countries in assisting Iraq.
The proposal represents a sharp difference with the Iraq Study Group – and current Democratic – suggestion that combat troops be withdrawn by next spring while leaving tens of thousands of American troops to train the Iraqi armed forces. The notion of “training” a largely-dysfunctional and sectarian Iraqi army, in the absence of a sweeping overhaul of the Baghdad government, is viewed increasingly as unrealistic. The pressure of the anti-war movement and restless public opinion is also propelling these strategists to recommend a stronger withdrawal position than the Congressional majority and presidential candidates currently are taking.
The position of the Bush White House is unpredictable but Pentagon generals in Iraq are calling for a much lengthier counter-insurgency campaign and the brokering of a South Korean-style outcome in Iraq. Not only does this scenario appear fanciful on the ground, but it might doom any supportive candidates in the 2008 election. That would position the uncompromising hardliners to blame the Democrats for “losing” Iraq in the 2012 election cycle.
The new thinking will be reflected in a coming report from the Center for American Progress
, a think tank led by former White House chief of staff John Podesta. CAP’s previous two reports have had significant impacts on Congressional thinking, especially on the Democratic side. The CAP proposal is expected to go beyond their previous recommendations for redeployment of American combat forces over a 12-to-18 month period. The new emphasis will be on sharply cutting back the American training program, perhaps to those needed to protect a diplomatic presence.
The proposal for full withdrawal would be accompanied by a rewriting of the UN authorization to one enlisting the international community to help stabilize Iraq as American troops pull out. Several countries have offered troops to fill such a security vacuum but only on the condition that the US announces that its forces leave.
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