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There are more Republican senators than Democratic senators up for reelection. None of the Democratic incumbents appear to be in trouble--Mary Landrieu might have been, but Karl Rove has had trouble finding a major league candidate. On the House side, we'll have to play a lot of defense, as Republicans did in 1996. The toughest races will be Lampson in Texas, Mahoney in Florida and Boyda in Kansas. Jim Marshall in Georgia will have a tough race, if he even runs again, as he may run for the Senate, in which case his House seat is as good as gone. John Barrow in Georgia will also have a tough race. On the other hand, we can go on offense against John Doolittle in California, Rick Renzi in Arizona, Heather Wilson in New Mexico, Chris Shays in Connecticut, Peter Roskam in Illinois (we need Tammy Duckworth to run again!), Mean Jean Schmidt in Ohio, Robin Hayes in North Carolina and possibly Michelle Backman in Minnesota.
One thing we forget amidst all of our well-justified outrage over last month' capitulation on the War bill, is that Republicans are just as angry with their party over the immigration bill. But any more sellouts like the one last month and we may have a problem.
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