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A lesson in daily tracking polls. In the last 2 weeks Obama has gone up 6, then dropped 7.

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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-26-07 10:38 AM
Original message
A lesson in daily tracking polls. In the last 2 weeks Obama has gone up 6, then dropped 7.
Hillary dropped 7 and then rose 6.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2008__1/daily_presidential_tracking_polling_history

DavidD has been kind enough to put the Rasmussen numbers in a graph which gives a better overall sense.

He updates the thread at the bottom

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x3518385
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MannyGoldstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-26-07 11:01 AM
Response to Original message
1. Polls Are Meaningless At This Point
Here's why: http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x3549971

Almost nobody has made a decision yet, so the polls will fluctuate wildly. This is why Dean lost a 30% lead in one month.

(Although, judging from the fundraising, those who have decided are going more to Obama.
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Clintonista2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-26-07 11:29 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. Polls are NOT meaningless
And I'm not just saying that at a Hillary supporter. Polls tend to shape public opinion, and they cause candidates to do things they wouldn't normally do. Hillary has played it safe because she has a comfortable lead. If she were to drop behind Obama, you would see a shift in the way that she is running her campaign.
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