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Which states could Kerry or Edwards carry that Gore couldn't?

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elperromagico Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 07:11 PM
Original message
Which states could Kerry or Edwards carry that Gore couldn't?
This is really a two-part question:

1. Can Kerry or Edwards (or Kerry/Edwards, perhaps?) maintain the states won by Gore in 2000?
2. Can Kerry or Edwards pick up other states (ex: the Clinton '96 states that were lost by Gore in 2000)? If so, which ones?
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elperromagico Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 07:25 PM
Response to Original message
1. Fine. I'll say Edwards could carry WV.
His stance on outsourcing might make him a very palatable candidate there.
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Hokie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 07:32 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Either could carry WV
The repukes painted Gore as anti-gun, anti-coal. The West Virginians know Shrub now. They will not make the same mistake again.
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Catch22Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 07:27 PM
Response to Original message
2. I wasn't ignoring you
Actually I was keeping an eye on this thread because I thought it was a very good question, and I don't know the answer. :)
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Feanorcurufinwe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 07:29 PM
Response to Original message
3. You mean besides Tennessee ?
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elperromagico Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 07:33 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. Gore's greatest shame, I'm sure.
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spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 07:32 PM
Response to Original message
5. Ohio
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elperromagico Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 07:37 PM
Response to Original message
7. Here are the Clinton '96 states that Gore lost in '00:
Arizona
Arkansas
Florida*
Kentucky
Louisiana
Missouri
Nevada
New Hampshire
Ohio
Tennessee
West Virginia

* Included under protest

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elperromagico Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 07:46 PM
Response to Reply #7
12. And it should also be noted
that Bush won by a margin of less than 5% in six of the above-listed states:

Missouri
New Hampshire
Nevada
Ohio
Tennessee

And of course, Florida, which he didn't win at all.
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aldian159 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 07:40 PM
Response to Original message
8. MO, NH, and WV
for starters. Possibly Nevada, the fasting growing state in the land.
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Lex Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 07:41 PM
Response to Original message
9. I think Edwards could take SC and NC.
In NC, it's not like Bill Clinton or Al Gore lost by big margins here.

If Edwards is the nominee, Bush would have to spend major time and money trying to ensure a win in the southern states that would easily go to him if Kerry were the nominee.

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David Zephyr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 07:42 PM
Response to Original message
10. None.
Not one.

Which states could Edwards lose that Gore won? That's a more important question to be asking.
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elperromagico Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 07:44 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. More important in your opinion. Not in mine.
n/t
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David Zephyr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 07:48 PM
Response to Reply #11
13. The Chair of the South Carolina Democratic Party Said As Much The Same.
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elperromagico Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 07:50 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. Jesus Christ could say it. It's still not more important in my opinion.
I'd just have to agree to disagree with you, the chairman of the SC Democratic Party, and Jesus.
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WiseMen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 07:54 PM
Response to Original message
15. Big question is whether Edwards can guarantee any Red State?
Most don't think so because polls showed that he could not carry
N.C. or S.C.

Maybe its now changed that he is more well known.
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elperromagico Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 07:55 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. I do wonder if his "I could win the South" argument
really carries any water. Kerry has beaten him in every Southern primary so far, with the exception of SC.
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mohc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 08:00 PM
Response to Reply #15
18. The last poll taken
Of NC voters was in late November (22-24)
Bush 52%
Edwards 45%

Nationally Edwards has moved more than 7% up since then, though one would assume there would be less movement in his home state. If the latest CNN poll is accurate though (54-44 Edwards-Bush) nationally, I believe he would carry NC easily. Of course if hes winning by 10% hes winning so many other states that NC does not really matter.
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curse10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 07:57 PM
Response to Original message
17. Nevada, Tennessee, West Virginia
I think Nevada will be pissed about the nuclear waste thing, and West Virginia has lost a LOT of jobs
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Merusault Donating Member (173 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-19-04 12:21 AM
Response to Reply #17
19. W.V., N.H., and Nevada...........
are all strong possibilities, particularly WV and NH. If we get those three it would be a huge help.
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