Rasmussen-Clinton -37% Obama 27% Edwards 13%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Hillary Clinton below the 40% level of support for the second straight day. The former First Lady now attracts 37% of the vote from Likely Democratic Primary Voters. Barack Obama is in second place nationally at 27%. That’s his highest level of support since early October. As with all tracking poll data, it remains to be seen whether the Clinton decline and the Obama bounce reflect a lasting change or are merely a temporary aberration.


http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2008__1/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[MethuenProgressive]

1. Is this the Oprah bounce Obama has been praying for?

Edwards remains stagnant at just 13% - looks like Democrats aren't buying what he's selling.
The MOE of +-4 doesn't effect the 1-2-3s.

[Herman Munster]

4. if you believe this 27% from Obama

you have to believe he had 17% a few days ago.

It sounds like his support is where it always was in the low 20's and the bounce lower and higher from that low 20's average is just statistical noise.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

10. According To Rasmussen He Went From Twenty Four To Ten Points Down In Nine Days

I wish there were other polls of the same vintage to compare it to... Rass can do these tracking polls because he uses a robocaller and cuts costs dramatically...

I wish I could start my own polling company...

[tired_old_fireman]

7. Edward is up in Iowa and NH

Democrats that are hearing what he's saying are starting to buy it. The rest of the country isn't hearing it yet.

[MethuenProgressive]

13. He sank to a vitual tie with Richardson in NH.

John 13%, Bill 12%. Edwards goes "up" any further and he's in fourth place.

[tired_old_fireman]

15. Do you have a link?

ARG has him up 7 from 2 weeks ago and he is at 17 while Richardson is at 10. Only Joe Lieberman would call that a virtual tie.

New Hampshire
Presidential Primary Preference:

New Hampshire
Likely Democratic Primary Voters Nov 26-29

Biden 3%
Clinton 34%
Dodd 2%
Edwards 17%
Gravel 1%
Kucinich 2%
Obama 23%
Richardson 10%
Undecided 8%

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres08/nhdem8-712.html

[MethuenProgressive]

16. Here ya go:

Clinton 36%, Obama 22%, Edwards 13%, Richardson 12%.
http://www.wmur.com/politics/14651842/detail.html

[tired_old_fireman]

17. It was 10 days ago.

I guess we'll have to see their next poll to see if Edwards is trending up in that poll too.

[MethuenProgressive]

18. OP: Edwards 13%. The link you requested: Edwards: 13%. That's a trend "up"?

The math isn't really all that hard.

[tired_old_fireman]

20. Right, the math isn't hard.

In the ARG poll I linked for NH Edwards went from 10% to 17% in the past two weeks. That is up. Right?

If he is up in the next WMUR poll in NH (the one you linked), then he is probably trending up there. If not, then the ARG poll may be an outlier.

I posted about Iowa and NH. That has nothing to do with the OP's 13%.

[MethuenProgressive]

21. "I posted about Iowa and NH. That has nothing to do with the OP's 13%."

Enjoy your "trend"!

[Renew Deal]

11. I don't think so.

Oprah hasn't even appeared with him yet AFAIK.

[karynnj]

22. It looks more like there were two very bad days

added on 11/20 and 11/21 - that moved the four day average from 24 to 20 to 17 - that spooled out. Edwards looks remarkably stagnant.

I think it will take at least a week to see if HRC really is lower - note that the 11/20 dip of Obama was meaningless.

[SaveElmer]

2. The "corporate" media strikes again...propping up their anointed one...

Democracy is dead!!!

[Adelante]

5. You're cracking me up, fool

:D

[jefferson_dem]

3. Obama within 10 points, and surging like a champ.

Thanks for posing these rather tasty digits, DSB.

[MethuenProgressive]

6. He's surged all the way back to where he was last month.

He keeps on surging at this rate he'll be in second place ferever...

Barack Obama is in second place nationally at 27%. That’s his highest level of support since early October. As with all tracking poll data, it remains to be seen whether the Clinton decline and the Obama bounce reflect a lasting change or are merely a temporary aberration.

[jefferson_dem]

14. Keep on whistling past the graveyard, ok.

Obama's as high as he's been since early October. Hillary's as low as she's ever been.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2008__1/daily_presidential_tracking_polling_history

That being said, and I quote, "As with all tracking poll data, it remains to be seen whether the Clinton decline and the Obama bounce reflect a lasting change or are merely a temporary aberration."

:hi:

[SaveElmer]

8. Gee...you think it is all a coincidence that he is gaining in three seperate polls?

Obviously the "corporate" Obama-first strategy has been initiated...

[MethuenProgressive]

19. The MSM is forcing us to accept his inevitability.

Now, if he could just get a talk show host to stump for him!

[quinnox]

9. I don't believe any Iowa polling

Sure, I know that Edwards Obama and Hillary are all in a dog fight but besides that I don't put any stock in Iowa polling.

[DavidDvorkin]

12. See the graph here:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=3518385&mesg_id=3774827

Updated daily.

[emilyg]

23. Thank you.