Latest ARG national: Hillary 41, Obama - 22, Edwards - 13, Undecided - 10

[rinsd]

December 13, 2007 - National Presidential Preferences

The following results are based on nationwide telephone samples of 600 likely Democratic primary voters and 600 likely Republican primary voters (those saying they will definitely vote in a primary or participate in a caucus in 2008) conducted December 9-12, 2007. The theoretical margin of error for each sample is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time.

Hillary Clinton continues to lead the Democratic field. Clinton leads Obama 40% to 21% among men and 42% to 22% among women. Among Democrats (82% of likely national Democratic primary voters), Clinton leads Obama 43% to 21%. Among independents, Clinton is at 30%, Obama 26%, and Edwards 21%.

National Primary

Democrats 	Mar 	Apr 	May 	Jun 	Jul 	Aug 	Sep 	Oct 	Nov 	Dec
Biden 	         1% 	2% 	3% 	3% 	2% 	4% 	5% 	5% 	4% 	5%
Clinton 	34% 	36% 	39% 	39% 	38% 	36% 	39% 	45% 	46% 	41%
Dodd 	         1% 	1% 	2% 	1% 	1% 	1% 	1% 	1% 	1% 	2%
Edwards 	15% 	19% 	19% 	13% 	16% 	16% 	15% 	13% 	11% 	13%
Gravel 	         - 	- 	- 	1% 	1% 	1% 	1% 	- 	- 	-
Kucinich 	1% 	1% 	1% 	1% 	1% 	1% 	1% 	1% 	1% 	4%
Obama 	        31% 	24% 	22% 	19% 	25% 	21% 	21% 	20% 	21% 	22%
Richardson 	2% 	2% 	2% 	5% 	3% 	7% 	5% 	3% 	4% 	3%
Undecided 	14% 	14% 	11% 	16% 	12% 	12% 	12% 	12% 	12% 	10%

Question wording:
If the 2008 Democratic presidential preference primary/caucus were being held today between (names rotated) Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Christopher Dodd, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama, and Bill Richardson, for whom would you vote?

http://americanresearchgroup.com/

[Cameron27]

1. Very nice

K&R

[Selatius]

2. Ultimately, it boils down to what voters in Iowa and NH think, for better or worse.

If she loses Iowa, she loses momentum going into NH and other primaries. It's the polls on the ground that Iowa that appear more important in the current situation, as opposed to national polls.

[emilyg]

3. Thank you.

[VarnettaTuckpocket]

4. Ha ha, where's your McClurkin now Bamy? n/t