My Iowa prediction...

[Clintonista2]

Either Edwards or Clinton will take it. If Edwards takes it, Clinton will lose by a very tiny margin, and vice versa. Biden will take third. Obama will come in a distant fourth, although Dodd might pull through for fourth place, with Obama coming in 5'th.

[gateley]

1. Mine is Obama, Biden, Edwards. Based on absolutely nothing but it's just what I think will happen.

[Clintonista2]

2. There's no way Obama will come in first.

Bookmark this page, Obama, AT BEST, will come in distant third.

[ChairmanAgnostic]

3. sorry, hillary will be a deep 3d.

not obama. Edwards/Obama neck and neck.

[1corona4u]

4. I don't think Obama will come in first either...

I think, as much as I hate him, it will be Edwards. I'm not sure about the rest.

[LakeSamish706]

5. And why would you hate Edwards? n/t

[1corona4u]

13. I have a lot of reasons....

go do a search. I'm not wasting my time to vent them all in this post. Again.

[LakeSamish706]

17. Yeah ok, Personally I actually like Biden and haven't made a firm decision yet...

But like Kucinich, I don't think that Biden is electable and my best bet to dethrone the Hillary machine is Edwards....

[medicswife]

19. why is Biden not electable in your view?

I'm really curious about that, because I actually know a lot of people here in KY that would never vote for any one with a D behind their name, except for Joe Biden for some reason. And it's not because he's conservative. I think it's because he knows a lot when it comes to foreign policy and he's put forth a really good plan on Iraq. I was shocked when I started finding out that people who I knew were Republicans thought that Biden would make a good President. I mean, there are still lots of Republicans that won't ever take the time to even consider anyone if they don't have an R behind their name, but the ones that actually pay attention to politics are talking of switching parties so that they can vote for Biden. Maybe it's because we're on a military post? And so the war and how you approach it is the #1 issue?

[gateley]

26. Also, Biden is absolutely passionate about our troops, which might explain it.

Watch this:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7vxWwZA9gk4

[Steely_Dan]

56. Interesting...

I too, have found some Republicans that would vote for Biden. At first, this sorta disturbed me...I really didn't like the idea of a person on the Right liking Biden. But I began to realize that many people, even Republicans are less concerned about policy than they are about "leadership." Oh yes, Republicans care about policy. However, I think that they would rather have a strong leader considering the situation that we find our country in.

-P

[1corona4u]

20. Biden is electable....

probably the most electable. Of course if people buy into what the media is saying, and don't look at the facts, then I guess they don't see it. Joe is probably the ONLY democrat running that could get republicans to vote for him, thereby bolstering a win for the dems. He's already won over many republicans in Iowa.(from their own mouths)

[LakeSamish706]

25. So, with your logic Kucinich is electable! Kucinich is who I would like to see...

as our next President... For many reasons, and the most important to me is getting this war over and our troops out now.... Others have committed to doing this, but Kucinich has been the most steadfast in this endeavour..... My other concern is bringing this corrupt Administration to justice, and I believe that Kucinich will do that as well.

[1corona4u]

28. DK is not electable...

as has been his problem for 2 campaigns now....he may be right on some of the issues, but he's just not likeable....and he has zero temperance. (successful blending of opposites, see Cleveland)

[LakeSamish706]

30. Thats your opinion.. And I will take it at that.. Like I said, I like Biden....

but he has a snow balls chance in hell of becoming our next President.. IMO

[1corona4u]

38. LOL...

Ok...

[Steely_Dan]

57. LOLOLOLOLOL

Well, we'll see. I hope that you are wrong, my friend.

-P

[emilyg]

6. It's a pleasure to meet you.

I strongly dislike him, too. Good to know I'm not alone.

[disndat]

7. Either a HRC supporter

or Kucinich,perhaps.

[LakeSamish706]

12. OK... Explain please... Why do you "strongly dislike Edwards"? n/t

[sniffa]

15. he's not Hillary

[1corona4u]

16. Yeah, you are not alone....

and I don't know a single democrat, or independent who will vote for him. We all think the same thing, and I don't need to tell you what that is.....

I absolutely will not vote for him, under any circumstances. Even if I didn't have a candidate in this race, I would still feel the same.

[LakeSamish706]

18. So you would vote for Hillary over Edwards? Well thats sick! n/t

[1corona4u]

22. Did I say that?

nothing pisses me off more than for someone to put words in my mouth. Nothing.

What's sick is to vote for someone who has ZERO qualifications for the job.

[jillan]

21. And I think Edwards will come in 4th.

I don't think he has many endorsements for someone who has been campaigning in Iowa for 4 years.

My gut feeling is he won't do it.

[1corona4u]

29. That's a good point...

I hadn't even considered that aspect of it...

[gateley]

24. Please feel free to remind me if it turns out I'm wrong.

:7 :hi:

[jillan]

35. I have never wanted anyone to be more right in my whole life.

[book_worm]

43. are you sure you want this book marked?

[TeamJordan23]

8. You do know how stupid you look by thinking Obama will come in 5th in Iowa, right? nm

[dugggy]

51. Bob Kerry's calling Obama a muslim could hurt his chances

in this election.

[Tashca]

9. Mine is similar

I have always thought Clinton would take Iowa.....I think Edwards second.....Biden third......Obama fourth...

[saltpoint]

10. I'd love to lay down a prediction but the truth is I have no idea in hell who

is even ahead, let alone predict who might win.

There are at least half a dozen (or more) scenarios at work in these caucuses.

I'd prefer that John Edwards and Joe Biden finish 1 and 2 since I like them in that order. But it appears as if Senator Clinton is formidable, and Senator Obama is drawing crowds. Gov. Richardson is exceptionally qualified and Chris Dodd's principled stands this fall have been awfully welcome. I've always been fond of Dennis Kucinich and that's unchanged. Gravel seems to lack support but he certainly doesn't lack brains and cajones.

We have several potentially excellent chief executives. The Pukes ain't got nobody.

I'll hope for my favorite scenario and take whatever comes. Without a doubt, it would be a great exhilaration to be a registered Iowa Democrat this week.

[durrrty libby]

11. I agree with your prediction and Obama is losing his mo

[sniffa]

14. my prediction

Dodd
Edwards
Obama
Biden
Richardson
Clinton
Kucinich
Gravel

[Blue-Jay]

23. Do you want to put some money on that?

[sniffa]

27. doubtful

but, i'm speaking from a degenerate gambler's perspective.

[Name removed]

33. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[Hippo_Tron]

31. Biden isn't within striking distance, Dodd isn't even on the radar

I know that polls aren't that good at predicting the outcome of the Iowa Caucuses but Biden making it into the top 3 would be an error of Dewey defeats Truman proportions. And that only happened because they stopped polling an entire month before the election.

[LakeSamish706]

32. And you know what? Thats very sad, cause either of these two would make...

a much better President that Hillary for sure!

[Hippo_Tron]

34. Mine

1) Krueger

2) Gravel

3) Kucinich

4) Dodd

Mine has about as much chance of coming true as yours does, anyway.

[Lydia Leftcoast]

36. Whatever it is, we will probably be surprised

The Iowa caucuses have a way of turning out in surprising ways.

[saltpoint]

39. Hear, hear.

:thumbsup:

[calteacherguy]

37. Your recent comments reveal a great deal of immaturity on your part.

Glad you're not in our camp.

[Clintonista2]

40. What is "our" camp?

I'm having trouble keeping up with what camp you belong to, Calguy.

[calteacherguy]

41. That's not my problem, Lirwin. nt

[durrrty libby]

50. Lol...... Ain't that the truth, but he is good at playing the jilted lover

looking for revenge

[book_worm]

42. My prediction: Obama, Edwards, Clinton and Biden.

[CyberPieHole]

44. As long as Obama does not win it...

I hope Clinton gets it, but I can live with any of the other candidates. Obama would guarantee us a loss come November. Any of our other candidates could beat any of the repugs.

[TeamJordan23]

47. Latest matchup polls do not show this. Especially the latest Zogby which shows Obama doing the best.

[CyberPieHole]

48. Doing the best what?

You really think Obama is viable? I have to say, IMO he is not.

[FlyingSquirrel]

45. Prediction: Pain.

(Mr. T - remember that one?)

I predict that approximately 41-42 days from now, many Clinton supporters will face a choice: Gracefully concede and join the rest of the DU community in supporting the front-runner(s), or spend the next 9 months plopping in - typo intended - with ad hominum attacks, carping and insisting that Clinton would have been doing so much better than (insert your candidate).

I predict that Lirwin2, if not already banned, will choose the latter.

[MonkeyFunk]

55. That will be true regardless of who wins....

some supporters of other candidates will do what you described, and insisting that their candidate would be better.

There's nothing unique about Clinton supporters in this respect - you'll see it no matter who wins.

[FlyingSquirrel]

46. dupe

[loveangelc]

Biden coming in third and Obama fifth???

[Clintonista2]

58. People forget something regarding Obama:

He has the least reliable voting base (students), Hillary has the most reliable voting base (Elderly women).

[sampsonblk]

49. Clinton by 5 pts or so

She is counting on older voters. Obama is counting on younger voters. That's an easy choice.

Edwards? He may do well. Who knows? But either way, he'll be out of the race in a few weeks.

[Clintonista2]

60. exactly. People don't seem to care about who's actually voting for the candidates, but its important

Hillary has the most reliable voting base out there. Obama has the least reliable voting base.

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

52. No way Obama will finish a distant fourth. He and Biden will be very close for 3rd & 4th

[Carrieyazel]

53. So you've got Richardson taking 6th? That's not going to happen.

He will stun a lot of people by exceeding expectations.

[JackORoses]

54. what a shit prediction, but what else could one expect from you

$10 says Hillary comes in 3rd.

Put your money where your clairvoyance is.

[IndianaJones]

59. do you think there will be a pronounced Bradley effect? nt.