CNN Exit polls: Bill Clinton's effect

[DeepModem Mom]

January 26, 2008
Exit polls: Bill Clinton's effect


Bill Clinton has campaigned heavily for his wife.

(CNN) — Bill Clinton's aggressive campaigning in South Carolina in the days leading up to the state's primary may have had a net negative effect among South Carolina’s Democratic primary voters, CNN exit polls indicate.

Roughly 6 in 10 South Carolina Democratic primary voters said Bill Clinton's campaigning was important in how they ultimately decided to vote, and of those voters, 48 percent went for Barack Obama while only 37 percent went for Hillary Clinton. Fourteen percent of those voters voted for John Edwards

Meanwhile, the exit polls also indicate Obama easily beat Clinton among those voters who decided in the last three days — when news reports heavily covered the former president's heightened criticisms of Obama. Twenty percent of South Carolina Democrats made their decision in the last three days and 51 percent of them chose Obama, while only 21 percent picked Clinton....

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/01/26/exit-polls-bill-clintons-effect/

[Freida5]

1. Need to have a follow up question to determine what role the media

bashing of Bill Clinton did to shape this view.

[DeepModem Mom]

2. Hi, Freida5 -- welcome to DU!

[robbedvoter]

7. You mean this kind of coverage?

Obama: 47% positive, 16% negative.
Clinton: 27% positive, 38% negative.
McCain: 12% positive, 48% negative
Giuliani: 28% positive, 37% negative
JEDNE

Net numbers

Obama +31
Giuliani -9
Clinton -11
McCain -36

[butterfly77]

3. Don't they mean the media effect...

[PDittie]

4. Well, if he is demotivating Democratic voters now

what do you suppose the possibility is that he/she motivates Republican ones later?

Clinton cannot beat McCain. We snatch defeat from the jaws of victory if she winds up as the nominee.

[peaches2003]

5. Media had NO effect on me at all

I watched and listened to Bill Clinton's speeches in SC. HE influenced my voting in that if Hillary is the nominee I will NEVER vote for her. And I am a loyal Democrat for 40 years who has supported very Dem nominee and backed Clinton for 8 yrs. Never again and the media has nothing to do with it.

[Rose Siding]

6. I'm afraid the Clintons sacrificed SC for a bigger "strategy" picture

from the AP wire:

"Clinton campaign strategists denied any intentional effort to stir the racial debate. But they said they believe the fallout has had the effect of branding Obama as "the black candidate," a tag that could hurt him outside the South."

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/2008/01/obama_runs_away_with_sc_primar.php

As Josh Marshall notes, of a video he posts, "Try To Explain This":

"Here's Bill Clinton this afternoon discounting Barack Obama's expected victory in South Carolina by explaining that Jesse Jackson won the state twice ..."

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/064875.php

I don't like suspecting that this was a strategy, but I do.