Bad News for Obama: CNN Exit

[Laura PourMeADrink]

Poll says of the people who made up their minds in the last three days, the voters split 47-46 Obama/Clinton.

SHIT !!!!!

That number needed to be a LOT higher for O - to see that the last polls showing him surging actually translated to votes.

SHIT !!!!

[ronnykmarshall]

1. Go Giants!

[MadBadger]

2. He was tied Nationally with her three days ago. These could be the undecideds.

[alcibiades_mystery]

3. Obama's gonna lose big, as reasonable people knew he would

You better be ready for that.

[rsmith6621]

13. Hillary Lost When She Sided With Bush on the War....

....Not Votes...but Credibility..

[Name removed]

20. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[alcibiades_mystery]

30. Me?

Asshole?

Naw...

[chascarrillo]

21. Keep hate alive!

[Laura PourMeADrink]

34. love that line !

[Straight Shooter]

24. He will not lose big.

I think the margin will hover somewhere around 5% between the two of them. JMHO.

[jazzjunkysue]

33. Coming in right behind a Clinton is never losing. It's unbelievable!

Even if you're not black, it's a tremendous achievement. I don't call what he's doing losing, even if the contest does tip slightly to Hillary.

BTW, I wanted to check off Edwards today but decided to go Obama. It felt good. I hope it worked.

[Nederland]

28. You don't know jack

Reasonable people don't think Obama is going to lose "big". Reasonable people think he will lose by a small margin. Just take a look at the Iowa political markets and you'll see what reasonable people think...

[stevietheman]

36. Nope... it's going to end up roughly even.

Even if Hillary wins more states... with proportional divvying up of delegates, she won't be much further ahead than Obama in getting the nomination.

In short... the race goes on.

[valerief]

4. CNN, the baby Fox. nt

[gateley]

5. Don't worry - plenty of time yet. If we've learned anything, it's not to

accept the exit polls as reality.

[MadBadger]

6. Its only 3PM in Cali.

[Thrill]

7. Don't get big heads Clinton Supporters

[ericgtr]

14. Agreed

I am supporting Obama but won't make that claim for him either. It's anyone's guess at this point and being smug about it is asking for it. You only have so long to edit your posts folks.

[juajen]

31. Hardly a big head. More like a nervous stomach.

GoMama!

[Debi]

8. Isn't it only 6:00 PM in the farthest eastern voting states?

Don't some polling places have 2-3 hours to go before closing?

[JackORoses]

9. polls are taken of different people

there is no evidence that the leads Obama has shown in recent polls were based on decisions made in the last 3 days.

nice try, though.

[Mass]

10. National poll. It depends where it was taken. What is the % in NYC compared to other places.

Not really meaningful.

[No Mas]

11. That doesn't make any sense - I believe it is good news

What this is saying is that in those polls taken the last few days...you know that % that said "not sure?" Well 47% of those are going for Obama, 46% for Hillary.

That's good news.

[mrreowwr_kittty]

12. Who were they polling? National? nt

[Roland99]

15. How many were undecided 3 days ago? 2%? 0.1%?

Splitting a crumb just leaves a slightly smaller crumb

[Kittycat]

19. It was a bit larger, but I do love your analogy LOL

In all seriousness, it does mean little. It's not counting new voters or those that have crossed over. It's just likely undecideds.

[pdxmom]

16. Is this in a specific state or an average nationally? I'm not understanding

how they could have that information.

[No Mas]

17. Someone please explain why this is bad news?

What this is saying is that in those polls taken the last few days...you know that % that said "not sure?" Well 47% of those are going for Obama, 46% for Hillary.

That's good news.

[Bucky]

23. First, there's a margin of error in any polling

Particularly in exit polling. Second off, Obama was behind in the most important contest states and was counting on last minute deciders cutting his way.

But this isn't actually "bad news." It's only a bad omen. Bad news is when there's facts to back up what these polls suggest--a moderately better night for Clinton than Obama

[Maribelle]

18. I don't think the last three days is any indicator. They will be nickle and dime-ing this all night.

Obama had pretty solid support more than three days ago.

[Vinca]

22. Keep in mind it's not winner take all. nt

[northzax]

26. some are, I think

are they not?

[MadBadger]

27. NOne are.

[northzax]

32. oh right, my bad

I was thinking of our friendly neighborhood republicans

[northzax]

25. it's all reading tea leaves at this point

nothing means anything until you have a full data set.

[book_worm]

29. lets wait and see, I hear exit polls from MA show a dead heat in a state Clinton was

ahead by 20-points.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

35. do tell more since you have insider info !!!