There is a great possibility this election will go to the House of Reps

[fujiyama]

I've spent a lot of time taking a look at various scenarios, and cobnsidering the relative polarity in the country, it seems very possible that we will end up with tie of 269. Obviously this means we lose, because dems don't control the House...I also find it likely that with the way the EC is set up, Bush may end up losing the popular vote once again.

It would also mean that Bush was the only president in US history to not really get elected either term. Let's just hope this doesn't happen, because it would expose the democracy we have as being a real sham.

Here are some scenarios:

All Gore states + NH and NV
All Gore Staets + NH and WV
All Gore States + NH and AZ

There was another scenario or two I forgot.

Basically All Gore States and another nine leads to a tie -- Kerry has some work to do.

[Syrinx]

1. I hope it doesn't happen, obviously

But exposing a sham is usually a good thing.

[King of New Orleans]

2. It's a possibility

but not a "great" possibilit. I ain't a bookie, but about a 10% chance sounds right.

[Sufi Marmot]

3. Does this take into account electoral vote reapportionment?

Some states have gained or lost an electoral vote or two since 2000.


-SM

[Lexingtonian]

4. No

You're basically pegging an awful lot on an intact set of Gore states plus Nevada or West Virginia. Thing is that Ohio, Florida, Wisconsin, and perhaps even Arizona are -despite being far larger states- significantly more volatile entities this year. They'll flip first.

[ButterflyBlood]

11. Gore won Wisconsin

n/t

[Bombtrack]

5. Arizona has 10 electoral votes

.

[rucky]

6. Has that ever happened before?

don't think so, but my US history starts getting fuzzy beyond a certain point

[Doomsayer13]

8. I beileve John Q. Adams Vs. Andrew Jackson

it wasn't a tie, as I recall, but there was no majority in the electoral college, so it went to the House of Reps which gave it to Adams despite Jackson being the winner of the popular vote.

[CubsFan1982]

9. re: "I beileve John Q. Adams Vs. Andrew Jackson"

Actually, it was the Jefferson-Burr-Adams election of 1800. Jefferson and Burr tied with 73 electoral votes each, John Adams trailing behind with 65. After several ballots (and some backroom deals, supposedly), Jefferson won. But no election since 1824 has gone to the House, however, the 1836 VP election did end up in the Senate.

[Striker Davies]

7. Only if the election was actually an election.

But it ain't.

Diebold has already prepared the final results. While the eventual "landslide" for President Coke-Snorting Dimwit will be totally contradictory to the polls, all the talking heads will somehow rationalise it and never once will anyone have the guts to suggest that the results are crooked.

Forget it, guys. The last chance you had at a real election was in 2000, and the Supreme Whores ensured that their man would take office.

After 2004, I doubt the Junta will even pretend to hold elections again. You've got President Perjuring Deserter for as long as he wants, until You, the People decide to treat this King George the same way you treated the last one.

I'll watch and weep from the other side of the world.:-(

[Caromill]

10. The scary thing

is that this scenario doesn't sound as outlandish as it might have before 2000.