Poll: Arab-Americans prefer Kerry
A poll released Friday indicates Arab-Americans in four states would choose Sen. John F. Kerry, D-Mass., over George Bush in the U.S. presidential election.
The Zogby poll conducted for the Arab-American Institute has Kerry at 54 percent against 30 percent for Bush when the two are matched head-to-head. When liberal activist Ralph Nader, who is mounting a third-party challenge, is added to the mix, he polls at 20 percent, while Kerry's support falls to 43 percent and Bush's drops to 27 percent.
The poll of 501 registered Arab-American voters also found that only 28 percent would vote to re-elect Bush while 65 percent said they would prefer someone new.
The four states in which the survey was conducted were Ohio, Florida, Michigan and Pennsylvania. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percent.
http://zogby.com/Soundbites/ReadClips.dbm?ID=7855Poll and Nader Bring Bad News for Bush and Kerry
A recent poll of Arab American voters in four key states has some bad news for both President Bush and his Democratic challenger John Kerry. The poll shows that the percentage of Arab Americans who believe that President Bush deserves to be reelected is a low 28 percent. When matched up against John Kerry, Bush loses 54% to 30%.
The bad news for Senator Kerry is that when Ralph Nader’s name is entered into the mix, the numbers change to 43% for Kerry, 27% for Bush, and 20% for Nader.
The poll in question is was the first in a series of tracking polls that Zogby International of New York is conducting for the Arab American Institute. This first poll, conducted in the last few days of February 2004, surveyed 501 likely Arab American voters living in four key electoral states: Michigan, Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania. (The poll has a margin of error of +/-4.5%.) These four states were chosen because they will be among those to be hotly contested in the 2004 election and because they are also home to sizeable Arab American populations. Together they include more than 1.1 million Arab Americans.
Given the propensity of Arab Americans to vote in somewhat larger numbers than the average population, Arab Americans in these four states represent a likely voter turnout of more than 510,000 voters. The Arab American vote equals more than five percent of the overall vote in Michigan, two percent in Florida, just under two percent in Ohio and more than 1.5% in Pennsylvania.
http://www.aaiusa.org/wwatch/washington_watch.htm