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Does anyone honestly think Nader is going to get 7% of the vote in Nov?

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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-16-04 10:29 AM
Original message
Does anyone honestly think Nader is going to get 7% of the vote in Nov?
Edited on Tue Mar-16-04 11:09 AM by WI_DEM
First, Nader will not be the candidate of the Green Party--he will have to spend considerable time in the next several months just qualifying to get on ballot and he probably will not be on ballot in several states--some states are relatively easy to get on ballot and other states are very difficult.

Second, without the Green Party organizations working for him in many states and the money they will get--Nader is going to be hard pushed to have the resources/organziation needed to be a viable third party alternative.

Third, While he did receive nearly 3 million votes in '00, again he was the Green's nominee and after four years of Bush there is no way that Nader or any other third party canidate is going to get even half of those votes, imo, The left, by and large, wants Bush out of the white house and as they say will vote for "a ham sandwich" to accomplish it.

Fourth, People may flirt early on with voting for Nader but in the last days of the contest and especially if it is close many of those people will begin to ask what they want more--a protest vote for Nader or the real opportunity to get Bush out of the White House.

Nader will not come even close to 7% in 2004--the stakes are too high.

p.s.
Not much can be done to stop Nader from getting some votes--there are high minded people who honestly don't support the two party system in this country. Also, we concentrate on Nader and ignore the fact that the Greens will probably also nominate a candidate and with their money and organization and ballot access that candidate may actually out-poll Nader.
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coloradodem2005 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-16-04 10:33 AM
Response to Original message
1. No.
He won't even get as high as he did in 2000.
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Florida_Geek Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-16-04 10:33 AM
Response to Original message
2. he is not on the ballot in ANY state
as of now.

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Freddie Stubbs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-16-04 10:36 AM
Response to Original message
3. He definitely won't get 7%, but
a few hundred votes in a few states could definitley make a diffenence. Gore won New Mexico by less than 400 votes, and Florida was of course close.
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trumad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-16-04 10:39 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. No
and the folks who said they're going with Nader in this poll are a bunch of fucking twits....
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mzmolly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-16-04 11:07 AM
Response to Reply #3
5. I agree. This election is too close to toss in the Nader factor and
ignore it.
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redqueen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-16-04 11:09 AM
Original message
NO! Hello?!
WTF are people smoking anyway?!

Geez these right wing media spooks really do their job well. Look how much everyone is focused on the real fight - GOTV EFFORTS!
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liberalnurse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-16-04 11:09 AM
Response to Original message
6. It's way too early to tell.
The game has just been kicked up a knotch.....relax......wait and see.
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