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Edited on Tue Mar-16-04 11:09 AM by WI_DEM
First, Nader will not be the candidate of the Green Party--he will have to spend considerable time in the next several months just qualifying to get on ballot and he probably will not be on ballot in several states--some states are relatively easy to get on ballot and other states are very difficult.
Second, without the Green Party organizations working for him in many states and the money they will get--Nader is going to be hard pushed to have the resources/organziation needed to be a viable third party alternative.
Third, While he did receive nearly 3 million votes in '00, again he was the Green's nominee and after four years of Bush there is no way that Nader or any other third party canidate is going to get even half of those votes, imo, The left, by and large, wants Bush out of the white house and as they say will vote for "a ham sandwich" to accomplish it.
Fourth, People may flirt early on with voting for Nader but in the last days of the contest and especially if it is close many of those people will begin to ask what they want more--a protest vote for Nader or the real opportunity to get Bush out of the White House.
Nader will not come even close to 7% in 2004--the stakes are too high.
p.s. Not much can be done to stop Nader from getting some votes--there are high minded people who honestly don't support the two party system in this country. Also, we concentrate on Nader and ignore the fact that the Greens will probably also nominate a candidate and with their money and organization and ballot access that candidate may actually out-poll Nader.
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