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This is for those who freaked over todays PA poll (Smile)

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PA-DEM Donating Member (182 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-17-04 09:47 PM
Original message
This is for those who freaked over todays PA poll (Smile)
Edited on Wed Mar-17-04 09:52 PM by PA-DEM
This poll was taken 7 month before the 2000 election, by the way Gore won by 200,000 votes (Smile it's early)

2000-04-02 - Bush now has narrow lead among Pennsylvania voters
Seven months before the presidential election, Texas Gov. George W. Bush held a narrow lead over Vice President Al Gore among Pennsylvania voters. But the latest Pennsylvania Poll suggests that Bush could significantly increase his chances of shifting the state to the Republican column by choosing Gov. Ridge as his running mate. Gore and Bush are both on the ballot in Tuesday's primary, but with their nominations wrapped up, their sights are already trained on November, when the state's 23 electoral votes, the fifth-largest total in the country, are up for grabs. In a survey of 416 registered voters who said they planned to vote in November, Bush led Gore 44 percent to 40 percent, assuming that Pat Buchanan was also on the ballot as the nominee of the Reform Party. Buchanan was supported by 5 percent and 11 percent were undecided. Substituting Ross Perot, the Reform Party's founder, for Buchanan produced a similar result, although Perot did slightly better than Buchanan. In that hypothetical matchup, the results were Bush 43 percent, Gore 38 percent, Perot 8 percent and undecided 11 percent. Bush's lead, in both scenarios, was within the poll's margin of error. But with the addition of Ridge, the GOP ticket fared significantly better. A Bush-Ridge ticket leads Gore by 47 percent to 33 percent, with 5 percent favoring the Reform Party and 15 percent undecided. The Pennsylvania Poll was conducted for the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research Inc. from Tuesday through Thursday. The theoretical margin of error for the results of the 416 interviews was plus or minus 5 percent.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-17-04 09:57 PM
Response to Original message
1. Yeah and Nader ain't getting 7%/
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Gman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-17-04 10:05 PM
Response to Original message
2. Thanks for the reality/sanity check
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-17-04 10:06 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Not only that, there were polls that had Gore trailing in NY at this point
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fujiyama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-18-04 12:26 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. Holy shit...
It was that bad? I know Gore bounced back from a defecit, but trailing in NY -- now that's pretty bad.

That's why I think, people have to relax a bit. I may be wrong, but I think this is the going to be the longest election in US history.
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PA-DEM Donating Member (182 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-18-04 11:48 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. people are not paying attention yet
wait til October.
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