Iowa: The ultimate bellweather state

[ButterflyBlood]

I think too many ignore Iowa's bellweather status due to it's voting for Dukakis by a wide margin in 1988. If you look at the last 3 elections you'll see you can't find any state closer to the national election.

2000:

Gore: 48.54%
*: 48.22%
Nader: 2.23%

2000 national results:

Gore: 48.38%
*: 47.87%
Nader: 2.73%

1996:

Clinton: 50.26%
Dole: 39.92%
Perot: 8.52%

1996 national results:

Clinton: 49.23%
Dole: 40.72%
Perot: 8.40%

1992:

Clinton: 43.29%
Bush I: 37.27%
Perot: 18.71%

1992 national results:

Clinton: 43.01%
Bush I: 37.45%
Perot: 18.91%

now, this is a very good sign. Because according to a recent Rasmussen(GOP biased) poll:

Kerry: 51%
*: 41%
undecided: 6%
Others: 2%

If Kerry is beating * by that large of a margin in Iowa, winning nationwide should be a piece of cake.

[DeepModem Mom]

1. Very encouraging -- thanks, BB!

[Padraig18]

2. It's certainly a good indicator.

MO is also a good one; IIRC, MO has only gone for the loser in a Presidential election once in the past 100 years. :)