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Final polls before Tuesday's primaries:

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Buzz Clik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-03-08 03:35 PM
Original message
Final polls before Tuesday's primaries:
Edited on Mon Mar-03-08 03:38 PM by Buzz Clik
People a more knowledgeable than me have been saying for the past three weeks that Senator Clinton needs big wins (margins of win of 20% or more) in Texas, Ohio, and Pennsylvania in order to stand any chance at all of getting the nomination. Here are the final polls for the four states involved in tomorrow's primary:













We'll let the voters do the talking tomorrow, but the polls are strongly indicating that the needed margins of victory simply are not there.

EDIT: The data going into these polls may be found here: http://www.pollster.com/08presidentialprimary.php

You'll note that many polls are used, and the key is the trend.
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Dogmudgeon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-03-08 03:37 PM
Response to Original message
1. The Clinton/TX chart has too few recent data points
Hard to tell, really.

--p!
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Buzz Clik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-03-08 03:40 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Three polls in March -- six including those spanning late Feb/early March (link):
Edited on Mon Mar-03-08 03:40 PM by Buzz Clik
http://www.pollster.com/08-TX-Dem-Pres-Primary.php

I agree that it's too close to call a clear winner, and that's the point. Hillary must be the clear winner -- more than just double digits -- in both Texas and Ohio.
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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-03-08 03:51 PM
Response to Original message
3. According to Public Strategies Tracking Poll Obama leads in early voting 56-44
over course of 2/24-3/1 and African-American turnout has been on par with Latino.

http://www.beloblog.com/KVUE_Blogs/politicaljunkie/belopollday5.pdf
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UALRBSofL Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-03-08 03:55 PM
Response to Original message
4. Buzz Clik Thanks for taking the time for posting the polls
Looks pretty close to me. Other then those states, I haven't heard what they are going to do with florida. As far as I know Charlie Crist would pay for a new primary here in florida. It could add a few delegates.
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Buzz Clik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-03-08 04:00 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Michigan and Florida are wild cards, no doubt.
Hillary has vowed to stay in regardless of the outcome tomorrow, so we'll see what happens with MI and FL.
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