Decision Analyst: TX: O:53 C: 47; OH: O: 51 C: 49

[Wayjose]

http://www.decisionanalyst.com/Index.dai

The Polling Firm Decision Analyst has just concluded their final poll in OH and TX. They predict a double victory for Barack Obama in OH and TX. Polls polls polls, so many of them by now. Voting tomorrow will be exciting. Hopefully we'll stop bloodying each other...we do not want to be at way while McCain and the GOP regroup. Remember, McCain has no momey and wants Obama and Clinton to bloody each other. Let's decide this nomination tomorrow and join together to beat the GOP otherwise we'll have a Third Bush term.

[democrattotheend]

1. Is this pollster reputable?

Have they done polls in other states, and if so, how have they done?

This is the first piece of good news I have heard all day.

[Wayjose]

7. They are reputable; they are careful in their polling

not like Zogby and Rasmussen that they crank up their votes like assembly line. Decision Analyst goes to different areas and interview their likely voters...not telephone like most others...that way they do not miss those persons who have cell phones...I hope that they are correct...They do see a late momentum for Clinton but too little too late for her.

[malik flavors]

2. Maybe this will be Obama's New Hamphire moment. The comeback kid.

Tomorrow should be interesting.

[TexasObserver]

3. Looks good to me.

[loveangelc]

17. are you still sticking with your original predictions about tx?

[TexasObserver]

23. Yep. Obama by 5-15 points. Probably 8-9 points.

[loveangelc]

26. since all the pols show hillary slightly surging in tx im thinking this is based on optimism?:)

[thesubstanceofdreams]

4. They had Obama ahead by huge margins a few days ago

This is bad news for Obama :(

[NJSecularist]

5. I'm not so sure

That poll could have been an outlier.

I doubt any pollster knows what to expect turnout-wise in either state. And that is what this race is going to come down to: turnout.

[bluestateguy]

6. Who the hell is "Decision Analyst"?

Sounds like the job title of some bureaucrat with nothing to do.

[skipos]

9. I don't think it is Mark Penn, if that is what you are implying. nt

[quantass]

8. Kick

[thewiseguy]

10. Whats their past record?

[Tropics_Dude83]

11. Online poll

Survey Methodologyy

Results based on scientific sampling of registered voters from American Consumer Opinion® (www.acop.com), one of the largest online research panels in the world. The sample was carefully balanced by gender, ethnicity, age, and geography; the data were weighted as necessary to fully represent the different demographic groups.

About Decision Analyst (www.decisionanalyst.com), based in Dallas-Fort Worth, is a leading international marketing research and marketing consulting firm specializing in advertising testing, strategy research, new product development, and advanced modeling for decision optimization. In addition, Decision Analyst owns and operates American Consumer Opinion® Online, one of the largest research panels in the world with over 7 million members.

For additional information contact:

[thewiseguy]

12. Man, online polls sucks :(

[Recursion]

16. It amazes me how few people seem to think that through

There is nothing about a poll being conducted online that inherently makes it unreliable. As long as sound methodologies are used to sample, there's nothing particularly unscientific about using an Internet interface as opposed to a phone (and for that matter, it takes out the potential skews from a live person asking the question -- there are some results suggesting online polls reduce the "good citizen" error rate).

Now, neither phone polls nor online polls are a probability sample: not all people have land lines (I don't, and haven't for about 6 years), and not all people have computers. But there's nothing inherently better about using a phone call as the medium; as I mentioned above, in fact, there is at least one aspect in which that is worse.

[democrattotheend]

24. Online polls probably undersample working class voters and seniors

So they might be more favorable to Obama.

[Recursion]

25. Well obviously you take that into account

Just like you're supposed to take into account lower rates of land-line ownership among the young when you do a phone poll.

There's nothing intrinsically different about doing a poll over the Internet as opposed to over the phone, other than the lack of a live pollster asking the questions.

[Wayjose]

14. They started in 1978

they do have online polling but in TX and OH they have gone into specific demographic areas to conduct their research

[quantass]

13. Exciting stuff tomorrow -- whoever wins, it's been exciting for this Canadian

[Tarheel_Dem]

15. not getting my hopes up, but i like it..........n/t

[Jane Austin]

18. A relative of mine got polled by Rasmussen yesterday afternoon.

It was an automated poll, and he answered as an over-50 Latina who makes less than $50,000 a year.

Yikes. I wonder how many people lie to automated polls?

[MadBadger]

19. Nah...this place had Obama up 14 points two weeks ago in TX

[Jane Austin]

20. What place?

Thanks.

[MadBadger]

21. The Polling company in the OP

[thevoiceofreason]

22. Way to go and pass the biscuits!