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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
Robroy Donating Member (426 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 10:52 AM
Original message
How in the world..
did Bush's numbers go up while Kerry's dropped after the Clarke revelations. Is the CNN/Gallop poll that skewed, or what?
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ewagner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 10:56 AM
Response to Original message
1. There's a disconnect here
Clarke does not equal Kerry.

Dubya's numbers are going up because of the huge campaign warchest and the ability of the repubs to get their message out.

Clarke is "stand-alone" regarding 9-11 and I think the farther Kerry stays away from the fray, the better off he is.
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unblock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 10:57 AM
Response to Original message
2. some of it is just randomness
remember the margin of error. usually changes of less than 3% from day-to-day are statistically meaningless.
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RichM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 10:58 AM
Response to Original message
3. It might just be that Kerry's numbers were somewhat inflated due to all
the news about his string of primary victories. He got an unusual amount of attention, then - perhaps now, it's just starting to wear off.
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 01:10 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. That's a possbile factor.
Also Bush released some negative ads and if you look at Kerry's Unfavorable numbers they jumped the most.
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still_one Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 11:00 AM
Response to Original message
4. All I see are bush anti-kerry commercials on CNN and CNBC
I do not see any Kerry ads on CNN or CNBC. This morning Bill Schneider was doing infomercials for bush on Kerry increasing the gas tax to 50 cents

If the Kerry camp does not respond to these attacks immediately we will lose!
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