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Latest Rasmussen Poll Kerry 47, Bush 45

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Nicholas_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 04:49 PM
Original message
Latest Rasmussen Poll Kerry 47, Bush 45
Kerry 47% Bush 45%
Election 2004 Presidential Ballot

Bush 45%
Kerry 47%
Other 4%
Not Sure 5%
RasmussenReports.com


Rasmussen Reports Home


Tuesday March 30, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows Senator John F. Kerry at 47%, President George W. Bush at 45%, and "some other candidate" at 4%.
Our most recent statewide poll finds Kerry leading Bush 50% to 44% in Washington. That result is almost identical to Al Gore's margin of victory in that state four years ago.

A related survey finds that American voters believe cutting government spending is a higher priority than either cutting taxes or balancing the budget.

The Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll is updated daily by noon Eastern.


http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm
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Catherine Vincent Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 04:51 PM
Response to Original message
1. Cool!
But polls don't matter until election day and it's way too early.
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apnu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 04:53 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. yup
September and October is poll sweating time.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 04:54 PM
Response to Original message
3. This has been consistent for weeks which I believe is accurate.
It is within a few points alternating between Bush and Kerry. It's not like some suggest who would have us believe that the sky is falling because we gave up a lead we never really had.
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prodigal_green Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 04:59 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Bush seems stable in the poll over the past few days
Edited on Tue Mar-30-04 05:00 PM by prodigal_green
The changes are in the Kerry column. I just do NOT get why 45% of the public thinks he is worth their vote.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 05:01 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Why did 60% vote for Nixon and Reagan? Why did 41% still vote for Hoover?
It defies explanation.
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ButterflyBlood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 05:04 PM
Response to Original message
6. I'm quite suprised that Rasmussen's been the best poll for us
since it's GOP biased. Of course pretty much all polls showed the Idiot Son of an Asshole ahead in 2000.
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Nicholas_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 05:17 PM
Response to Original message
7. In the last week
THe differntial between Kerry and Bush has fallen back to within the MoE's of the polls now putting Bush and Kerry at statistical dead heat again, where last week Bush had broken out in many polls and was ahead of Kerry in a number of them beyong the MoE.

This week, the point spread between Bush and Kerry is down to 1.2 percent. last week it was 4.5

This has actually been the best week for Kerry yet in the national polls:

This week

RCP Average (3/23 - 3/30) 45.2% 44.0% 4.5% Bush +1.2
Rasmussen (3/28-3/30) 45% 47% - Kerry +2
CNN/Gallup/USAT(3/26-3/28) 49% 45% 4% Bush +4
Pew Research (3/22-3/28) 44% 43% 6% Bush +1
Newsweek (3/25-3/26) 45% 43% 5% Bush +2
Fox News/Op Dyn (3/23-3/24) 43% 42% 3% Bush +1


++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Last Week:

Quinnipiac (3/16-3/22) 46% 40% 6% Bush +6
AP/Ipsos (3/19-3/21) 46% 43% 5% Bush +3
Democracy Corps (3/16-3/21) 50% 47% - Bush +3
Insider Advantage (3/18-3/19) 46% 41% 4% Bush +5
Zogby (3/17-3/19) 46% 46% 3% TIE
Newsweek (3/18-3/19) 45% 43% 5% Bush +2
CBS News/NYT (3/10-3/14) 46% 38% 7% Bush +8


+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Without Nader, Kerry does a great deal better:

RCP Average (3/23 - 3/30) 46.6% 46.6% TIE
Rasmussen (3/28-3/30) 45% 47% Kerry +2
CNN/Gallup/USAT(3/26-3/28) 51% 47% Bush +4
Pew Research (3/22-3/28) 46% 47% Kerry +1
Newsweek (3/25-3/26) 47% 48% Kerry +1
Fox News/Op Dyn (3/23-3/24) 44% 44% TIE
Quinnipiac (3/16-3/22) 46% 43% Bush +3


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry.html

Don't know what i is with ralph...He seems intent on giving Bush every possible advantage.
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