Kerry Leading Maryland

[mobuto]

Before I post the poll, I want to make clear that this is highly suspect in my opinion. It was done by Gonzales-Arscott research, a small outfit run by Patrick E. Gonzales, former head of Mason-Dixon. Mason-Dixon used to be notorious.

Kerry is, if you have trouble reading this, winning by five points without a Nader question and by 3 points (43-40) with Nader in.

PRESIDENT
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies. March 19-24 2004. N=825 registered voters statewide. MoE ± 3.5:

"Do you approve or disapprove of the job George Bush is doing as president?"
Approve Disapprove Unsure
% % %
3/19-24/04 45 47 8
2/3-8/04 41 53 6
12/03 47 46 7
8/03 43 48 9
4/03 62 31 7
Among likely voters:
9/02 63 28 9
7/02 69 19 12
1/02 74 16 10

"If the November 2004 general election for president were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were George Bush, the Republican, John Kerry, the Democrat, and Ralph Nader, an independent?"

Bush Kerry Nader Unsure
% % % %
3/19-24/04 43 48 - 9
2/3-8/04 40 51 n/a 9


http://www.pollingreport.com/sub/md2004.htm
Subscription Required.

[Adelante]

1. Link not working, mobuto

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[mobuto]

2. Really?

It works when I click on it. You need a subscription to PollingReport to see it.

[zorkpolitics]

3. Very small lead!

Considering Gore won MD by 17 pts, Kerry's 3 pt lead is distressingly small.

[Thrill]

4. This is insane

That a small lead for Maryland. Whats going on here?

[Zynx]

5. We always win Maryland by bigger margins than we look like we will.

That's a flukey poll. If we are tied nationwide, we would win Maryland by 15 or more points.

[spooky3]

6. One of my MD friends says they have been inundated with * ads.

[Sparkly]

7. I'm in Maryland

A Republican governor was elected last time, too. :(