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My Prediction: Obama's Race Speech won't Change the Narrative

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Bullet1987 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-18-08 09:32 AM
Original message
My Prediction: Obama's Race Speech won't Change the Narrative
Not because he can't...but because the MSM will not allow it. I see this being a major story at least until the end of the week.
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keep_it_real Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-18-08 09:36 AM
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1. The MSM is throwing the election to Hillary on this one point.
They finally found something to bring Obama down, guilt by association.

As one poster said, this is America's test, not Obamas.
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InAbLuEsTaTe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-18-08 09:39 AM
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2. Couldn't agree w/ you more. And God help America if it fails that test. Won't be good for Hillary.
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mohc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-18-08 09:48 AM
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6. I do not think that is what the MSM is pushing for actually.
Violence is on the rise again in Iraq and we have yet to see any real political progress there. The economy is in dire shape, and could get much worse in the next few months. McCain is tied to Bush on the war and the economy, the only area he has any daylight between Bush and him is on social issues. That basically covers the 3 meta-issues of any presidential campaign, McCain will be losing the economy and national security debate and will not have strong backing on social issues. It would seem to foretell a landslide victory for the Democrats, especially after the initial excitement and high voter turnout among Democrats in the primaries. But predictable results are not good for ratings, the MSM needs a close race. So they will do their best to make one. The media wants the story to be basically that the Democrats should be unbeatable, but will lose because they are divided. In many ways both campaigns are playing into this narrative, but I am not sure if they have much of a choice. Clinton is too far behind now to be truly ahead of Obama before the convention, and unless Obama returns to winning the way he did in late February, Clinton will be too close to drop out. Even if Obama has enough superdelegate endorsements to give him a majority of convention delegates, I believe Clinton will continue to lobby for them to switch to her side. No matter what happens at or after the convention, if the nomination is not settled until then, we will come out of it more divided than united.
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goldcanyonaz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-18-08 09:40 AM
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3. You're right. The GOP won't let it go away either. It will be fierce come November.
It will be a 527 ad that will be played over and over and over again. His die hard supporters won't be affected but middle America will.

If only he had quit this church years ago he would have been able to separate himself for what is to come.

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goclark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-18-08 09:40 AM
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4. I am in a more positive mode
It is a speech that needs to be given.

It should in reality be given in concert with Clinton and other Democrats. and McCain certainly has a preacher that needs to temper his words (hope you saw the post about HIS minister today.)

Race is a major issue in America and not since MLK has any major figure that I know of had this opportunity.
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DemGa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-18-08 09:41 AM
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5. The narrative that Clinton was "race-baiting" was allowed to stand
was it not? And now some soaring rhetoric will provide the cure. Sorry, with Obama words and deed don't align. The true narrative is the actions beneath the fluff.
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Cessna Invesco Palin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-18-08 09:50 AM
Response to Original message
7. Well, I've just read the speech.
And I think it pretty effectively neutralizes the story.
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