INTRADE: Obama whomps Hillary. Now 4:1 odds to win nomination and growing

[jefferson_dem]

Obama is at 80% to win nomination and growing. Hillary is at 20% and sinking.



http://www.intrade.com/

[jackson_dem]

1. Just like the oddmakers gave Duke a huge advantage today...

[milkyway]

24. Duke was a 3 point favorite, and a shaky one at that. A lot of people could see it coming.

[jlake]

2. While it's not looking good for Hill... it is NOT the high or low for either.

Hillary has a low of 11.6 and Obama has a high of 88.5

Check the "life hi low" on the trading page.

[jefferson_dem]

4. Thanks. That must have been weeks ago.

I've edited the OP.

[fascisthunter]

5. She Statistically Can't Win the Nomination

it's over.

[jlake]

8. Are you competing in a non sequitur contest or something?

[fascisthunter]

9. It's Over...

I don't See Your Point nor Hers

[jlake]

10. I was pointing out a fact..... don't know why you are talking about something else.

[fascisthunter]

11. Admit It.... Statistically She Can't Win

[jlake]

12. Statistically, she can win - although it is becoming a long shot.

We'll see what happens.
But I will tell you one thing - there is no need for your viciousness and one track mind of defeating your allies.

:(

[FrenchieCat]

21. She can't win, she can only destroy other......

Maybe put a contract out on him.......

[Oleladylib]

3. I got a bridge to sell..wanna buy???? 2 to 1 it won't collapse..soon anyhow.

[cali]

6. more bravado from the hillfan camp

You're all so busy spinning and pretending that Obama is going down. Delightful that you're sick dreams of Wright detonating his campaign failed. tough on hillbots.

[jlake]

16. Try to tone down the condescension Dearie.

:hug:

[kevinmc]

7. Should be 90% to 10%.....

Story behind the story: The Clinton myth
Politico

One big fact has largely been lost in the recent coverage of the Democratic presidential race: Hillary Rodham Clinton has virtually no chance of winning.

Her own campaign acknowledges there is no way that she will finish ahead in pledged delegates. That means the only way she wins is if Democratic superdelegates are ready to risk a backlash of historic proportions from the party’s most reliable constituency.

Unless Clinton is able to at least win the primary popular vote — which also would take nothing less than an electoral miracle — and use that achievement to pressure superdelegates, she has only one scenario for victory. An African-American opponent and his backers would be told that, even though he won the contest with voters, the prize is going to someone else.

People who think that scenario is even remotely likely are living on another planet.

As it happens, many people inside Clinton’s campaign live right here on Earth. One important Clinton adviser estimated to Politico privately that she has no more than a 10 percent chance of winning her race against Barack Obama, an appraisal that was echoed by other operatives.

In other words: The notion of the Democratic contest being a dramatic cliffhanger is a game of make-believe..........

http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=D1491726-3048-5C12-0099B6F95FDE6303

[ORDem]

13. Rasmussen Markets similar, about 80% O 20% C, which is up from

a few days ago by about 5 points to Obama.

:dem:

[Orsino]

14. It's not a "whomping."

They're a hundred and some delegates apart, for crying out loud. Whatever the odds being laid are, this is not a landslide.

[jefferson_dem]

17. The odds aren't in terms of likelihood not margin of victory.

Actually, I think the odds should be at least 10:1 at this point. Even Hillary's own advisors concede that.

[BumRushDaShow]

15. This intrade thing is a trip. LOL

Will be interesting to see how it does this fall. Those are some hefty odds! :thumbsup:

[Scurrilous]

18. K & R

:thumbsup:

[FrenchieCat]

19. I like the odds.....although I think it is more like 9:1 odds.......

i.e., 10%!

[slinkerwink]

20. woot!

[quantass]

22. Remind me again why she is in this race?

[loveangelc]

23. ego