Obama Loses Big to McCain in Rasmussen Poll; Clinton Not So Much

[Misanthrope2]

From Saturday's Rasmussen daily presidential tracking poll:

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Saturday, March 22, 2008

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows ongoing volatility in the Democratic Presidential Nomination. Nationally, Hillary Clinton now holds a very slight advantage over Barack Obama, 46% to 44%. Before the story broke about his former Pastor, Obama led Clinton by eight percentage points (see recent daily results). While the national polls remain close, Rasmussen Markets data gives Obama a 79.5 % chance to win the Democratic nomination while expectations for a Clinton victory are at 20.3 %.

Looking ahead to the General Election in November, John McCain continues to lead both potential Democratic opponents. McCain leads Barack Obama 49% to 41% and Hillary Clinton 49% to 43% (see recent daily results).

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[Hepburn]

1. Ignore.

[loveangelc]

2. lol 2 points diff.

[jackson_dem]

6. About a month ago the difference was 10 points--in favor of Obama...

[loveangelc]

8. wow...!! I guess poll numbers can actually fluctuate.

[jackson_dem]

61. 12 points in one month. This is the first month Obama has taken hits

He apparently has a glass jaw and has a long way to go in the negative category. How many points will he lose by the convention? Oh well. The superdelegates will know what to do if Obama is down 10 points by the convention while Clinton is tied or slightly ahead of McCain.

Why didn't those numbers fluctuate over the past year? Surely you remember Obama used to consistently do better than Clinton against the rethugs.

[roguevalley]

33. we haven't even started on McCain. He's going to be swiss

cheese. I could debate his sorry ass and win. He's got savings and loan scandals, lobbyist ties up the ass, cancer, a dipster wife who is his second who is a wingnut from hell who stole from kids to get drugs, no grasp of details on anything remotely related to the economy, a jones for war that puts caligula to shame, miles of videos showing him warmongering and other fuck ups, Joe Lieberman ... shall I continue?

His party is in disarray, the RNC has had millions stolen and can't raise dick from anyone and he practically sleeps with Bush.

Obama will blow him off the map in the first debate.

I could beat McCain. Hillary loves him too much to kick him in the nuts, he's such a patriotic and talented he-man don't you know.

Obama will destroy him. Count on it. McCain can't even get the bad guys right. He has 11Million$. Period.

Don't kid yourself. It hasn't even started.

[myrna minx]

53. roguevalley 08!

:hi: I love this post. For all of the worriers out there, this is OUR campaign to lose.

[jackson_dem]

60. Yes but the rethugs haven't started on Obama either

And evidently Obama has a glass jaw...

[futureliveshere]

65. Only nomination poll is relevant right now.

Hillary has been relatively discrete(barring the McCain endorsement), but her campaign more than made up for that with their vicious attacks. And Obama has not yet even begun targeting McCain, so this poll is way too premature. The only number that really reflects current concerns is the one about winning the nomination.

[Misanthrope2]

42. Thanks for the perspective.

It's a big negative swing. It may continue as people know more about Obama. It will be interesting to see what happens to Clinton.

[Webster Green]

3. Opposite world

BS!

[SoCalDem]

57. Like the Bizarro Superman comics

:)

[ElsewheresDaughter]

4. good news!

[emilyg]

20. Yes it is.

[peoli]

5. I care about polls.

[Speck Tater]

7. Breaking. Latest polls:

Clinton wins big.
Obama wins big.
McCain wins big.
Clinton poll numbers soar.
Obama poll numbers soar.
Obama in freefall.
Clinton has lost for sure.
Obama can't win now.
Clinton in the dumpster.
McCain will take it all.
McCain doesn't stand a chance against Clinton.
Obama will beat McCain in a landslide.
etc.
etc.
etc.
ad nauseum.

Enough already!!!

[FARAFIELD]

9. Loses BIG? with a 2 point difference

Thats like saying hillary loses to mccain like we beat DoLE in 96 *not so much*, ill be glad when she give up we can get on to McCAIN

[Misanthrope2]

43. Obama behind McCain by 8 points. N/T

[anonymous171]

10. OMG TWO POINTS! THIS IS HUGH!@#?!@

[Misanthrope2]

44. Obama behind McCain by 8 points. N/T

[PM7nj]

56. Clinton behind be 6 points... SHE STILL LOSES

Doesn't matter if it is 6 or 8... both lose. This is why we need to move on!

[SoCalDem]

58. In Bizarro-world, the 2nd place loser is better than the first place loser

:eyes:

[rocktivity]

11. Get thee behind me, polls!

UNCLEAN! UNCLEAN!!!!



x(
rocknation

[PerfectSage]

12. I absolve you of the sin of being a mediocre thread starter.

So how many times has gallop & raz tracking polls for today been been posted on DU?

[Misanthrope2]

51. I don't know. How many?

[Eurobabe]

13. R-ASS-mussen, REPUBE polling firm, come on.

:eyes:

Think they don't want Obama as the nominee? Uh, yup.

[Thepricebreaker]

15. LOL your beyond wrong.. Rass was the most accurate 2004 and 2006 elections..

They are VERY VERY reliable..

[maximusveritas]

18. That's not true. He was definitely not the most accurate in 2006

and he is definitely a conservative Republican who does commentary for Fox News and his polls regularly skew Republican.

[Thepricebreaker]

19. What? Rasmussen is VERY respected.. You going to quote Zogby and Gallup? they dont compare...

[maximusveritas]

22. Zogby's just as bad; Gallup is much better

There have been polls of the pollsters and Gallup ranks near the top every time. Rasmussen is near the bottom with Zogby.

[Thepricebreaker]

23. So your saying Ras is more rightwing then Gallup? Omg.. CNN/GALLUP

[roguevalley]

34. They all suck.Or have you forgotten New hampshire?

[Misanthrope2]

45. Remember Zogby in California? What a big miss.

Never trust Zogby who won't reveal his methodology and missed California by a mile.

[SoCalDem]

59. RCP...the AVERAGE of ALL polls

(scroll down)

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/democratic_primaries.html

[Eurobabe]

41. Call bullshit. Talk to me when you have 10K posts.

:hi:

[Ron Green]

14. This is the same shit I heard today on right-wing talk radio. Who are you,

anyway???

[Thepricebreaker]

16. So we only post the pro clinton and obama polls? and blow smoke up each others ass??

[rodeodance]

29. Real LAME

[rodeodance]

30. WHO are you to be listening to the RW and then coming here and crying?

sarcasem

[Misanthrope2]

46. I am a former elected Democrat, trial lawyer and long time activist.

Who are you?

[Ron Green]

64. My name is Ron, and

I care enough about the Democratic party to call for Hillary Clinton to end her vain and hopeless campaign, and for other Democrats to unite behind our better remaining candidate rather than repeating the same crap the corporate shills are screaming non-stop.

[Thepricebreaker]

17. but but but.. I thought McCain was old and no one will vote for him.. LETS STOP UNDERESTIMATING!

[LulaMay]

21. Thank you for posting some reality.

[MadBadger]

24. I was just in Amsterdam, and even I was not as High as you obviously are

8 points vs. 6 points. Are you for realz?

[rodeodance]

31. too bad

[Melinda]

25. Vote Clinton - she doesn't lose by as much.

:eyes:

[Taxmyth]

26. Sounds like a plan

to me.

[angie_love]

27. LOL! 2 points , wow a huge difference!!

:rofl:

[rodeodance]

32. Lame

[angie_love]

36. the title of this thread is lame? yeah I know right!

[lligrd]

28. Either Way We Lose

Luckily the poll is irrelevant since we haven't yet begun to campaign against McCain. I don't think his 100 year war and lack of economic knowledge will get him far.

[McCamy Taylor]

35. McCain has not been campaigned against. These polls mean nothing.

[Misanthrope2]

47. Some truth there.

What do you think will damage him in the campaign to the extent that 24-7 Rev. Wright commercials will do to Obama?

There is Keating 5, drug and theft prone wife and flip flops on torture and taxes. I don't think those will cost him much among the Republicans.

Got anything else?

[JimboDem]

37. Sink This

[Misanthrope2]

49. What does that mean?

[davidinalameda]

38. there is just NO way I can support Obama now

thank you SO much for posting this

:sarcasm:

go back under your bridge

[TheDonkey]

39. Oh Nooooooeeeez! 2% difference. Christmas is canceled!!

:( :( :(

[Misanthrope2]

48. Obama behind McCain by 8 points. N/T

[Political Heretic]

40. Two percengate points within the margine of error. The real point is that BOTH candiates are losing

Both candidates. Trying to make a thing out of two percentage points within the margin of error is just silly.

The real issue is that this protracted nomination process continues to hurt the democratic party and weaken BOTH CANDIDATES standing for the general.

We need a nominee and we need one RIGHT NOW.

[Buzz Clik]

50. One year ago, Hillary Clinton had no competition on the Democratic side according to Rasmussen.

I love polls. :sarcasm:

[book_worm]

52. stupid post which says Obama loses big (8%) while Clinton nos so much (6%)

misleading and stupid. This poster has obviously not heard of moe. There is little difference between Obama and Clinton. The difference is slightly more undecideds.

[mckeown1128]

54. Operation HRC-2012 a success. n/t

[neverforget]

55. Ahhhhhh 6-8 points! We're doomed! Doomed I tell you!

It's March. Lots of time to paint McCain as McBush.

[fujiyama]

62. The numbers you post

don't look good for either candidate.

And 2 points is within the margin of error anyways, so her "lead" is statistically meaningless.

[JoFerret]

63. these polls mean very little.

nothing in fact

[shayes51]

66. Obama will carry no more than five states

if he is the nominee.

[OPERATIONMINDCRIME]

67. .