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At that point most every state will have had a chance to vote. At that point, it will still be clear that Obama has more popular votes, more committed delegates, and more super delegates. She will have been a strong and admirable foil for Obama to help maintain the narrative of Amazing woman candidate from political family vs. Black man from humble beginnings and varied background and heritage.
She has helped to drive the excitement in this particular Democratic primary, but after May 20 she is just creating issus for the party. What I envision would be a best case scenario is she either already has a plan to drop out or is cajoled into a plan to drop out no later than the end of May.
From that point, we'll be looking at a 5 month window where it is nothing but Obama vs. McCain. We'll see a period of time where Democrats can kiss and make up and present a strong, united and dynamic front for all Americans and the world to see.
Based on that and a strong appeal to minority voters (especially Latinos and African Americans) I see a possibility for a very strong Obama performance in the November general election.
Hillary NEEDS to be out of this thing by end of June. I want to help. If there is any way Oregon can be a sharp slap to her face by delivering a 20% advantage for him....it would negate anything she hopes to get out of strong performances in hicksville, West Virginia or in Kentucky.
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