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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) |
Douglas Carpenter (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 08:15 AM Original message |
Latest Rasmussen Tracking Poll: Obama 48%/McCain 40% |
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MrModerate (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 08:19 AM Response to Original message |
1. Bigger bounce than I expected . . . |
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Douglas Carpenter (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 08:27 AM Response to Reply #1 |
3. Rasmussen tends to error on the side of caution |
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earthlover (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 09:06 AM Response to Reply #3 |
15. this should bump again after Hillary's speech.... |
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johnaries (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 01:35 PM Response to Reply #3 |
31. Yep! Usually off by 3-5%. Mostly because of their weighting. |
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DenverDem23 (61 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 08:23 AM Response to Original message |
2. But the overall percentages mean little, It's the state by state |
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tyne (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 08:31 AM Response to Reply #2 |
4. The "young vote:...made up |
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Douglas Carpenter (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 08:46 AM Response to Reply #2 |
7. popular vote is still an indicator |
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DemocratSinceBirth (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 08:48 AM Response to Reply #7 |
8. The EC Follows The Pop Vote Albeit Imperfectly As We Have Learned |
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cloudythescribbler (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 08:31 AM Response to Original message |
5. Well, as long as neither Barack nor his running mate get caught w/the proverbial dead girl or ... |
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DemocratSinceBirth (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 08:54 AM Response to Reply #5 |
9. If Mike Dukakis Was The Nominee Now He Would Probably Win |
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roseBudd (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 09:00 AM Response to Reply #9 |
11. I don't think Dukakis could win in any year, Obama has that charisma thing |
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DemocratSinceBirth (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 09:06 AM Response to Reply #11 |
13. Who Was The Most Uncharismatic President In American History? |
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Douglas Carpenter (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 09:06 AM Response to Reply #9 |
14. Here is an interesting article on exactly that point by Dr. Alan Abramowitz of Emory University |
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DemocratSinceBirth (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 09:10 AM Response to Reply #14 |
17. As A Political Scientist I Am Suspicious Of Monocausal Models Or Even Models With Three Causes |
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Douglas Carpenter (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 09:24 AM Response to Reply #17 |
19. strictly speaking, some would say that there is no such thing as |
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DemocratSinceBirth (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 10:58 AM Response to Reply #19 |
27. Political Scientists Will Tell You They Can Quantify Just About Everything |
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Teaser (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 01:48 PM Response to Reply #19 |
33. All you need, though is a scientific method and an object of study |
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Douglas Carpenter (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 09:59 AM Response to Reply #14 |
23. / |
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Middle finga (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 08:31 AM Response to Original message |
6. I hope Obama has a really good war room |
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MrModerate (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 08:58 AM Response to Reply #6 |
10. When people begin to smell flop sweat . . . |
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roseBudd (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 09:01 AM Response to Reply #6 |
12. Obama has the instincts of a boxer |
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Middle finga (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 09:09 AM Response to Reply #12 |
16. The G.O.A.T. Barack Ali |
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InAbLuEsTaTe (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 10:56 AM Response to Reply #6 |
26. Based on how Obama dealt with Hillary's onslaught, I think he'll do just fine. |
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jefferson_dem (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 09:21 AM Response to Original message |
18. Yowza! Obama at 58% favorable! |
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THUNDER HANDS (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 09:26 AM Response to Original message |
20. can you imagine the bounce he'll get after the convention |
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Jeff In Milwaukee (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 09:30 AM Response to Original message |
21. Wait till the media starts paying attention to McCain... |
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A-Schwarzenegger (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 09:31 AM Response to Original message |
22. Wait'll McGrim starts blowing gaskets every day on the trail. |
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gristy (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 10:49 AM Response to Original message |
24. Amazing: 48-43 Obama |
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FrenchieCat (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 12:26 PM Response to Reply #24 |
28. That's close to the Intrade figures.....which shows Obama 62% McCain %37 |
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MarjorieG (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 09:07 PM Response to Reply #24 |
36. Then there are voting worries. We need a huge margin that polls can't lie about. |
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Carrieyazel (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Jun-09-08 12:17 AM Response to Reply #24 |
41. All of that happening is highly unlikely. Everything has to go right. |
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DerekJ (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 10:54 AM Response to Original message |
25. Good news to wake up on .... |
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Douglas Carpenter (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 01:20 PM Response to Reply #25 |
29. Indeed, Indeed, Indeed............... |
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Drunken Irishman (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 01:21 PM Response to Original message |
30. If Obama can keep his lead at 8 points until the convention, he'll blow this thing up. |
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muryan (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 01:38 PM Response to Original message |
32. Being over 50% |
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Douglas Carpenter (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 08:56 PM Response to Original message |
34. one kick for the next shift |
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DemocracyInaction (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 09:04 PM Response to Reply #34 |
35. Barr, Barr, Barr in da' South, South, South |
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cooolandrew (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Jun-08-08 10:42 PM Response to Original message |
37. Come on folks you have to hand it to Hillary she saved America on Saturday. |
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Blondiegrrl (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Jun-09-08 12:04 AM Response to Reply #37 |
38. Well she could've saved America a little sooner. |
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Blondiegrrl (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Jun-09-08 12:08 AM Response to Original message |
39. Not bad ... not bad at all, especially after the bruising battle Obama just finished. |
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Carrieyazel (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Jun-09-08 12:13 AM Response to Original message |
40. Rasmussen polls get slammed here all the time. Yet when there's a favorable one |
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Cali_Democrat (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Jun-09-08 12:23 AM Response to Reply #40 |
42. We're homers!! |
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