This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on July 7, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
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http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/about_us/methodology">Methodology
Election 2008: New Jersey Presidential Election
Wednesday, July 09, 2008
The gap between the two major presidential contenders has narrowed to 5% in New Jersey, as some of Barack
Obama’s support appears to have slipped off into the undecided column over the past month.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of New Jersey voters, taken Monday night, shows Obama ahead of Republican candidate John McCain 44% to 39%. Last month, the Democratic hopeful had a 48% to 39% lead over his GOP rival.
Now 11% of voters describe themselves as undecided, up from 6% in early June. Five percent (5%) favor some other candidate.
If leaners are included, Obama leads McCain by an even narrower 47% to 44%. Leaners initially indicate no preference for either major candidate but indicate that they are leaning towards either McCain or Obama. Nationally, Obama continues to hold a modest lead over McCain in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Voters perceive their priorities on Iraq are the biggest difference between McCain and Obama. Other key stats on Election 2008 are continuously updated at Obama McCain By the Numbers.
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http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_jersey/election_2008_new_jersey_presidential_election