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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) |
highplainsdem (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Jul-11-08 08:43 PM Original message |
Newsweek's misleading polls oversampled Democrats a few weeks ago and oversampled Republicans now |
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Kurt_and_Hunter (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Jul-11-08 08:46 PM Response to Original message |
1. Average the two and it's 6 points, which is pretty much in line |
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jody (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Jul-11-08 08:52 PM Response to Original message |
2. Given the sample size it's not obvious that any conclusions are biased by sample size. Any |
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NattPang (993 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Jul-11-08 08:59 PM Response to Reply #2 |
4. It is not the sample size alone at issue |
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jody (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Jul-11-08 09:13 PM Response to Reply #4 |
6. And professors of statistics know how to deal with such things. |
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NattPang (993 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Jul-11-08 09:59 PM Response to Reply #6 |
8. LOL! |
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writes3000 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Jul-11-08 08:52 PM Response to Original message |
3. Thanks for this, highplainsdem. I really appreciate the analysis. |
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Hokie (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Jul-11-08 09:04 PM Response to Original message |
5. This is why the margin of error is BS |
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On the Road (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Jul-11-08 09:37 PM Response to Original message |
7. That is a Good Catch and is Posisbly What Happened |
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Seen the light (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Jul-11-08 10:03 PM Response to Original message |
9. Or, since the poll was conducted in the middle of the FISA debacle, well |
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robcon (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat Jul-12-08 05:06 AM Response to Reply #9 |
13. Huh? You think the FISA issue gained votes for McCain? |
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mrreowwr_kittty (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat Jul-12-08 12:13 PM Response to Reply #13 |
19. I seriously doubt if you stopped 10 people in the mall, that any would know what FISA is. nt |
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robcon (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat Jul-12-08 11:00 PM Response to Reply #19 |
20. Not only that, McCain and Obama voted ifentically on FISA |
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Captain Hilts (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Jul-11-08 10:47 PM Response to Original message |
10. They are sloppy in balancng their sample. But they're honest about it. nt |
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sufrommich (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Jul-11-08 10:57 PM Response to Original message |
11. I'm dumb when it comes to taking apart polls,but |
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highplainsdem (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat Jul-12-08 08:47 AM Response to Reply #11 |
15. Yes, and Newsweek polled more Dems than Rethugs in both these polls, |
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sufrommich (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat Jul-12-08 08:51 AM Response to Reply #15 |
16. Interesting info. |
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DeepModem Mom (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat Jul-12-08 01:16 AM Response to Original message |
12. I think Newsweek needs to seriously examine their polling. nt |
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Skidmore (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat Jul-12-08 05:25 AM Response to Original message |
14. Nothin' like keeping a horserace neck to neck. |
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jefferson_dem (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat Jul-12-08 08:54 AM Response to Original message |
17. R 30%, D 32%, I 30%? |
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mrreowwr_kittty (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat Jul-12-08 12:12 PM Response to Original message |
18. Looks like they undersampled Dems this time. |
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