also, it's early. I'm not sweating yet, and expect great reviews when Obama starts traveling.
http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2008/07/15/latest-quinnipiac-poll-gives-obama-solid-lead/Latest Quinnipiac Poll Gives Obama Solid Lead
Susan Davis reports on the presidential race.
pollThe latest Quinnipiac University Poll gives Barack Obama a national 50%-41% lead over rival John McCain, bolstered by strong support among blacks, women, and young voters. McCain has a slight lead among men as well as white voters. The candidates split the spoils among independents and seniors.
Maurice Carroll, director of the polling institute, said Obama’s lead is “solid—but not monolithic.”
Obama has near unanimous support among blacks, 94%-1%, and a nearly 20 point lead, 55%-36%, among women. His lead among young voters 18 to 34 years old is even greater at 63%-31%.
However, in older voting blocs, Obama’s support narrows to 48%-44% among 35 to 54 year olds, and is neck and neck with McCain among voters 55 years old and older with McCain leading 45%-44%.
McCain’s lead among men is narrow, 47%-44%, but larger among whites overall at 49%-42%. Further, Obama trails closely behind McCain in so-called Red States—ones that voted for George W. Bush by more than five percentage points in 2004—with 44% to McCain’s 47%. In swing states, Obama leads 50%-39%.
As for race and age, 88% of respondents said they were “entirely” or “somewhat” comfortable with having a black president, with 9% expressing some level of discomfort. Meanwhile, 64% said they are “entirely” or “somewhat” comfortable with voting for a candidate who will be 72 years old on Election Day. While 75% said age isn’t a factor in their vote, 20% said it would make them less likely to vote for McCain.
Such topics, generally, are hard to poll because many respondents may be reluctant to voice existing reservations. “We note with a grain of salt that voters tell us they’re not prejudiced against Obama because of race, or that only 20 percent are worried about McCain’s age,” Carroll said.