NYT/CBS POLL: Obama 45 (-3), McCain 39 (-3). Obama w/ enthusiasm. McCain w/ negative favorables.

[jefferson_dem]

THE PRESIDENTIAL RACE: MIDSUMMER
July 7 - 14, 2008

Democrat Barack Obama now holds a six-point edge over his Republican rival John McCain, leading 45% to 39%. But more voters now than last month are undecided, and more than one in four who express a candidate choice could still change their minds.

Both candidates have weaknesses: Voters are more likely now than a month ago to view Obama and McCain as pandering, and see both as shifting on issues in order to get elected. Obama now leads McCain 45% to 39% -- no different than the lead Obama held in early June, as he was securing the delegate support necessary for the nomination. And this month, 12% of voters are undecided as to who they will vote for, double the 6% who said this in June.

<SNIP>

There is a large enthusiasm gap: Obama’s voters are more than three times as likely as McCain’s voters to be enthusiastic about their candidate. Half of Obama’s supporters say they feel enthusiastic about him; just 16% of McCain’s supporters do. Although 68% of McCain voters are satisfied, 15% of those now voting for him are angry or dissatisfied. Sizable percentages of those dissatisfied voters are conservatives or evangelical.

<SNIP>

http://www.cbsnews.com/htdocs/CBSNews_polls/JUL08a-Campaign08.pdf

[anonymous171]

1. ABC and Faux are spinning this as good for McCain.

:crazy:

[ChimpersMcSmirkers]

3. Didn't you get the memo, everything is good news for McKeating5.

[Drunken Irishman]

2. Seems about in line with the ABC poll.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

4. I'm still trying to figure out why the Democrats are failing to push back.

It seems that Obama is out there doing this alone. No help from the Dems except for Kerry and McCaskill.

[AllentownJake]

8. and Biden

and Boxxer, and Webb, and Kaine, and Rendell, and Casey etc...

We don't have money to run ads.

I've seen them all this week talking for Obama.

[phrigndumass]

5. Enthusiastic K/R for a six-point spread :)

Maybe the M$M is referring to the weather when they say "dead heat" lol ...

[elocs]

6. A six point lead with a 3 point margin of error. Here is what it means:

From http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2004_08/004536.php



Which means it is 98% likely that Obama is actually leading McCain.

[MarjorieG]

7. What media message of shifting hath wrought...

[Historic NY]

9. Thats better than newsweak and their reporting.

[Colobo]

10. Obama will beat McShit like a rag doll.