It would be really funny if McNuts lost Arizona!

[napi21]

I've heard that Barack is leading in Az. polls, and while listening to Malloy now, he was saying he won't even win Az! I sure hope that happens! That sure would make MY DAY!

[LibertyorDeath]

1. It would restore my faith in Americans!

Rec!!

[DesertRat]

2. That would be incredible

But I really doubt he'll lose this state.

[The_Casual_Observer]

3. There was some kind of cartoon guy named Boob McNut

[napi21]

4. Yep! I never heard of him, but here it is!

Boob McNutt was a comic strip by Rube Goldberg which ran from 1915 to September 1934.

Boob McNutt was a clumsy, buffoonish fellow who was quite friendly and attempted to be helpful in his incompetent way. He was entrusted with tasks like caring for priceless works of art and the Elixir of Immortality, tasks he inevitably failed, usually in a destructive manner.

From 1922 to 1926, the strip focused on Boob's pursuit of his love Pearl, whom he finally married, then divorced, then married again, and divorced again. Goldberg brought in supporting characters from his other strips like Mike and Ike (They Look Alike) and Bertha the Siberian Cheesehound. In 1934, he even brought in Professor Lucifer Gorgonzola Butts, inventor of those famed Rube Goldberg machines, briefly before the strip was cancelled.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boob_McNutt

[az chela]

5. I live in Az and I am supporting Barack.I have 5 bumper stickers

on my car and I bought extra in case someone takes one

[ben_meyers]

6. Was it funny when Gore lost Tennessee?

I really think many people here are taking an Obama win for granted.

[napi21]

8. Not taking an Abama win for granted at all! We will have to fight for

every vote. What I see though, is that McNuts isn't gaining much support at all. He doesn't have the support of the RW evengelicals, or the neocons, or the old real Pubs. I really don't know about Az. I would be surprised if he lost his home State, but for sure pleasantly surprised.

[Youphemism]

9. Maybe not funny, but it did flash a neon "LOSER" light...

...which is what people are enjoying about the possibility of that happening to McCain.

[depakid]

7. That would be like PM John Howard losing his seat in parliament

to a woman!

Only one other prime minister, Stanley Bruce in 1929, has been deposed while holding the highest office in the land.

In an eerie parallel with Mr Howard's situation, Mr Bruce lost that election on the back of unpopular industrial relations reforms.

Late last night the Coalition had endured a nationwide swing of 5.9%.

The strongest swings were in NSW and Queensland, where the largest Labor gains were expected.

Labor had picked up 21 seats from its 2004 result of 60 in the House of Representatives. It needed a net gain of 16 to win government.

In Bennelong, where Mr Howard is battling to survive against the high-profile Labor candidate, former journalist Maxine McKew, the swing to Labor was 5.2% with 70% of votes counted. Mr Howard's buffer of 4.1% appeared set to be eclipsed.

Mr Howard's famous campaign abilities meant nobody was prepared to write him off in Bennelong, but last night's figures suggested he might have to concede his seat.

http://www.theage.com.au/news/federal-election-2007-news/howard-likely-to-lose-in-bennelong/2007/11/24/1195753377773.html

[LiberalFighter]

10. Arizona election stats

2,643,331 -- 2004 Registered Voters
2,038,069 -- 2004 Votes Cast

2004 President
893,524 - Kerry
1,104,294 - Bush
210,770 - Difference (R-D)
2,012,585 - Total Votes Cast

2004 Senate
1,505,372 - McCain
404,507 - Democratic Candidate
51,798 - Libertarian Candidate
1,100,865 - Difference (R-D)
1,961,677 - Total Votes Cast

2006 Governor
959,830 - Janet Napolitano
543,528 - Republican
1,503,358 - Total Votes

2008
2,734,108 Current Registered Voters as of June

Obama will need a minimum of 1,052,632 (based on 77% turnout) votes to a max of 1,367,054 votes (based on 100% turnout).


A question to ask is what happen in 2006 that resulted in Napolitano winning? Did nearly 50% of the Republicans stay home and not vote and a few defected and voted Democratic? There shouldn't be that big a shift in voting even in an off-year election.

[DesertRat]

11. The Republican challenger was not a good candidate

Janet was a popular incumbent. Most Republicans I know voted for her.

[tyedyeto]

13. Close to 1/3 registered voters are Independents in AZ

That makes Az a hard call at this time.

[book_worm]

12. It would be sweet, but my hunch is that McCain will win Arizona

[grantcart]

14. the polls showing him behind in AZ are not trust worthy

but he is down to about an 8 point lead