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questionable facts here? Terry McAuliffe must be in charge of setting primary dates; that is, I believe that state parties set their own dates but if the DNC chair asks them to set primary dates before or after a certain date, I'd presume they would comply with the request. James Carville has been involved in Democratic politics for years so I can easily picture him making a suggestion to McCauliffe, and being listened to. Having an early nominee sounded like a good idea -- and I don't see Fund claiming that Carville or McAuliffe regret the change. Did I miss a sentence?
It's true, as Fund says, that Dean is prone to gaffes, from saying that Job is his favorite book of the New Testament to his false "I'm the only" claims (only candidate from a farm state; only white candidate to address racial issues in speaking to white audiences; only candidate to oppose war from the start), plus the Saddam gaffe and the Osama gaffe that Fund mentions specifically. It's possible he could make a gaffe so serious that he'd lose because it cost him the votes of all but the true-blue Dean supporters.
And Fund is also correct to report that a number of people have spoken publicly about their concern that Dean's "mad mouth disease" could cost us the White House if he's the nominee.
Fund has NOT proven to me that there's a connection between Dean being presumed the frontrunner now and the shortened, early primary season. Why couldn't Dean have raised his campaign money and gotten his loyal followers under the conventional schedule? He's been campaigning for two years or more, getting himself known.
Fund writes:
"That meant that for all of 2003, liberal party activists were in the driver's seat when it came to deciding who would raise the most money and be anointed the front-runner in media coverage. That turned out to be Mr. Dean, who tapped into activist rage over the Bush administration's war in Iraq and lingering anger over the disputed Florida recount in 2000."
Fund is suggesting that liberal party activists got involved in Dean's campaign but liberal party activists usually do get involved in campaigns earlier than other voters. And, unless the Dean campaign is lying, thousands of non-voters, Greens, even Republicans are involved and donating money. I don't think they're lying because I think such a lie would have been exposed by now. So it's not JUST the liberal base involved with Dean.
Fund went on to say:
"But while "Bush loathing" is almost universal among Democratic partisans, it resonates with only about 20% of the electorate. Many of the people who don't approve of Mr. Bush's handling of his job are turned off by bitter attacks against him."
:shrug: I'm not so sure about this. Bush-lovers obviously hate to hear their guy criticized but there are a lot of people unhappy with George W. Bush. It's the Dem's job to criticize Bush and voters know this. The "Bush hating" meme is one the RW wants to spread but I think it really plays to their base, and probably does not hurt us.
That said, we must be careful not to appear as being only opposed to Bush rather than FOR something. Any competent politician should be able to manage that.
Personally, I don't believe that Dean is a good candidate for the nomination. I think that Dean v. Bush might well result in a landslide for Bush. Even so, I think that it will help our nominee, whoever he or she is, to be able to devote the time between March and November to selling himself / herself to the American voters.
It would be lovely to see John Fund writing about our newly-elected Democratic president's upcoming inauguration this time next year. :7
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