Obama needs 4 blocs to win: Blacks, Latinos, Young whites, and undetermined bloc

[Liberal_in_LA]

McCain just locked up the hunting, moose killing, Alaskan, pro-life vote.

http://www.nationaljournal.com/njmagazine/cr_20080903_4088.php

Obama Win Requires Four-Part Coalition
To Win, Barack Obama Needs African-Americans, Hispanics, Young White Voters And One More Undetermined Bloc.
Wednesday, Sept. 3, 2008

There are a dozen ways to slice and dice this year's electorate and how it breaks down. Indeed, every pollster and analyst seems to do it a bit differently.

One way is to think of a stool with four legs. The first and easiest-to-predict leg this year is the African-American vote. Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama is incredibly strong among black voters.


***SNIP***

Given this year's strong "change" climate, Bush's unpopularity, the tendency for voters to want to give the other party a chance after one has controlled the White House for two terms, and the current Democratic advantage in voters' party identification, this race ought to be a sure thing for the Democratic nominee. But resistance to Obama is making it close--just as a stool with only three of its legs can stand but is shaky. Whether the fourth leg is defined as whites over 50, working-class whites, or whites over 65, McCain's challenge this week is to firm up his grip and keep Obama from adding the final leg to the stool.

[still_one]

1. If Obama gets the women vote we win /nt

[yellerpup]

2. Obama will get the women's vote.

We will win. :dem:

[still_one]

3. I agree. He will also get the young people who they don't include in the polls /nt