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Gallup has more whacky numbers

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59millionmorons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-30-04 08:02 AM
Original message
Gallup has more whacky numbers
Edited on Mon Aug-30-04 08:04 AM by demdem
Bush leads in most likely voters. Kerry leads in all registered voters. Beings likely voters is asumming a low turnout and registered voters are for higher turnouts, this looks good for Kerry. Because by watching the protest yesterday we know there will be a big turnout. Likely voters has a big 5.0 MOE.

Likely Voters Registered Voters
2004 Aug 23-26 IA PA WI IA PA WI
John Kerry and John Edwards (D) 51 47 47 50 49 49
George W. Bush and Dick CheneyR) 46 48 50 44 44 46
Neither/other/no opinion 3 5 3 6 7 5


http://www.usatoday.com/news/polls/tables/live/2004-08-29-poll.htm
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-30-04 08:05 AM
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1. The registered voter numbers more reflect most other #s we've seen.
Gallup always produces some funky likely voter numbers just like they did before the 2000 election with the most volatile #s in all of polling. They increased their sample size four-fold before the election and then got some numbers that were relatively accurate.
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