Something to keep in mind when looking at polls

[Jackinbox]

I've noticed a lot of state polls lately are using the "likely voters" model instead of "registered voters". This model is flawed with all the new registrations we've had this year. We're likely to do better than the likely voter model.

All of the recent polls in OH on RCP use "likely voters".

It's probably been discussed here before, but it just occurred to me when looking at some state polling.

[BuyingThyme]

1. Welcome to DU, Jackinbox!

:hi:

[curious one]

2. I don't trust polls. It all depends who, where, and when the poll is taken. All those criteria can

be controlled.

[mahina]

3. Welcome.

Hope you find all the good here.