Kerry, Clark now tied in NH poll...

[Dookus]

From the American Research Group's ongoing tracking poll:

http://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/demtrack/

Jan 2-4 Jan 3-5

Braun 0% 0%
Clark 12% 14%
Dean 39% 37%
Edwards 3% 3%
Gephardt 6% 6%
Kerry 14% 14%
Kucinich 2% 2%
Lieberman 6% 7%
Sharpton 0% 0%
Other 1% 1%
Undecided 17% 16%

Sample size 622 619

Kerry's ongoing slide seems to have stopped. He's now holding steady at 14, down from 19 when the poll started. Dean is also back to where he started, and Clark is up 2.

[BobbyJay]

1. GO CLARK!!! LET'S ALL DONATE

I'm donating $50 right now.

[lancdem]

2. I hope Clark finished second

[Democrats unite]

3. Clark is doing very Good for comming in to the game late..

Go Wesley Clark!!!

[democratreformed]

4. YES!!!

:) :) :)

[Better Days]

5. Margin of Error?

The Dean and Clark moves mean little in a tracking poll. You need to follow these polls over many days.

[Dookus]

6. exactly...

if you follow the link I provided, you'll see this poll has been ongoing since December 26th.

In that time, Kerry's fallen 5 points, Dean has remained steady, and Clark has risen 2 points.

[Dookus]

7. dupe

argh... dumb auto-dupe

[Radical__Moderate]

8. Half the people on my street have

Clark signs up in their yard. I have yet to see a Dean sign in town.

[Name removed]

10. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[Closer]

21. You live on a military base?

[creativelcro]

9. LOL, those variations look REALLY reliable....

2 point changes with a sample of ~620 mean nothing...

[Dookus]

11. *shrug*

you think Kerry's five point drop over many days means nothing?

I disagree.

[creativelcro]

15. I'm talking about what was posted.

Kerry was at 14 and is at 14 in the numbers that were posted at the beginning of the thread.

[Dookus]

16. Yes, because I was discussing the latest results.

But I mentioned the results from the beginning, and provided a link.

Not sure what your beef is.

[BobbyJay]

17. He's NBD

It's pointless to continue the conversation.

[Imalittleteapot]

12. Must have something to do with the 50 Clark letters

I sent to registered NH voters last week.

:bounce:

[Kathleen04]

20. Excellent, I sent 24!

And more from me going there soon. :)

[Dookus]

13. also, here's the analysis offered on the website

Beyond Ballot Preference - January 6, 2004

Wesley Clark's ballot preference has increased since his latest visit to the state began last weekend. While a number of respondents have reported seeing the debate in Iowa on Sunday, more have mentioned coverage of Clark's visit to New Hampshire.

Clark's strength in the ballot preference continues to be among men. In the latest tracking, Dean leads Clark 30% to 22% among men and Dean leads Clark 43% to 7% among women. Clark is gaining on Dean among those with favorable opinions of Clark. Of the 52% of likely Democratic primary voters saying they have a favorable opinion of Clark, Dean leads Clark in ballot preference 28% to 23%.

[TexasSissy]

14. Really? I thought Kerry was picking up speed.

Of coure I'm delighted. Coming in second in NH would be a good start for Clark.

[Dookus]

18. kick...

hard to keep up with the discussions on that OTHER poll, which whether true or not, is relatively meaningless at this point. National polls just don't carry much weight yet.

This poll matters a lot more to the actual race.

[Closer]

19. That's exactly

what Kerry and his supporters deserve by going after blood with Dean while giving a virtual handjob to Clark.

How you like THEM apples Kerry folks?

[Dookus]

23. well...

Dean is down 8 points since Mid-December in the same poll. Kerry seems to be getting hurt, but it doesn't seem Dean is gaining from it.

[Auntie Bush]

27. handjob

What's a handjob? Please explain in detail.

[Kathleen04]

22. Great news.

Go Clark!

[Padraig18]

24. How is Kerry going to save the Democratic party, if he's tied with Clark?

:P

[BobbyJay]

26. No, MORE taxes will save our party.

:eyes:

[Feanorcurufinwe]

25. Note: Undecided: 18% 18% 17% 16% 19% 18% 16%

MOE 4%