PA: Obama 52, McCain 45 (Muhlenberg-10/28-11/1)

[HughMoran]

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/pa_obama_52_mccain_45_muhlenbe.php

[Laura PourMeADrink]

1. not good. He was up 10.3 a couple days ago. But still, probably

insurmountable for McDip

[Drunken Irishman]

7. It is good. Obama isn't losing support.

[gabeana]

9. actually it is pretty good because

for the past week Obama has been either at 52 or 53, as long as he stays above 50 he is right on target

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. At This Rate McDingelberry Will Pass Obama By Thanksgiving

~

[Laura PourMeADrink]

3. lol

[HughMoran]

4. Exaclty

:)

[CitizenLeft]

5. but he's still at 52%

McCain is gaining support, but Obama is not losing any. If he holds with at least 51%, he wins.

[Jennicut]

6. Sounds good still. It is tightening a bit in PA but that is to be expected as

the undecided idiots come back to McLame. Kerry won this state by what, 2 points? Obama will probably win it by 5 to 7.

[HughMoran]

10. You got it

People do know that the undecideds have to decide at some point - even if every single one goes to McCain, it's still a 4 point win!

[Jennicut]

12. And not all of them will break for McLame. Just some.

Obama's support is not going anywhere so McLame still won't win this state.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

8. Ok, that was 10-27 when he was up 10.3 - That's 3.3 in 5 days. 2days left

[fugop]

11. Philly

When was the Phillies parade? Wonder if that affected Philly numbers at all.

[ROh70]

13. Look at HOW the race is tightening - McCain is rallying the base

but not stealing supporters from Obama. He is not going to win that way. He's going to max out at 45 or 46 percent, just as he's been doing nationally.

[JPZenger]

14. Biden Rally Monday Evening in Philadelphia

Sen. Joe Biden and Jill Biden will return to Pennsylvania to hold a public rally on Monday night in South Philadelphia.

The rally will be held at Marconi Plaza on South Broad Street & Bigler Street. Doors open at 8:30p.m. This event is free and open to the public. Tickets are not required.

[stoge18]

15. I'm a Pennylvanian and am not worried

And I'll be the first to admit that I get over-concerned by poll numbers. This Muhlenberg poll has tightened a bit, but it was likely always an outlier to some degree anyhow. Obama is still holding VERY steady with 52%. There's no reason in the world to think that PA would buck the national trends that show Obama with a comfortable lead. The volunteers in and around Pittsburgh are very, very encouraged, and Philly will do what Philly always does. The middle of the state will likely be red, but is sparesely populated.

For anybody who needs some comfort, you can seek it over at the PPP blog -- they'll have some decent PA numbers out later today or tonight:

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2008/11/chill-out.html