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DCBob (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:36 PM Original message |
Is there any logical reason to believe that the recount will go Franken's way? |
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usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:37 PM Response to Original message |
1. No, undervotes more common among dems |
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DCBob (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:39 PM Response to Reply #1 |
3. Please explain. Not questioning your claim I just want to have some real hope. |
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BzaDem (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:40 PM Response to Reply #3 |
4. Undervotes are mostly caused by mistakes in marking the ballot. |
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DCBob (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:43 PM Response to Reply #4 |
11. So there will be visible examination of the ballot to determine intent and .. |
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Hansel (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 09:55 PM Response to Reply #4 |
33. And non-conformists |
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SoCalDem (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:43 PM Response to Reply #3 |
10. dems tend to be (as a group) poorer people and younger people |
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DCBob (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:45 PM Response to Reply #10 |
14. That sounds reasonable. Maybe a few hundred for Franken like that. |
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backscatter712 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:41 PM Response to Reply #1 |
6. Yep. You beat me to it. |
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DCBob (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:48 PM Response to Reply #6 |
17. Ok. That's sounds like a real legitimate possibility. |
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trayfoot (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 09:09 PM Response to Reply #6 |
27. Thanks! Definitely makes me feel better! |
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Engineer4Obama (610 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:41 PM Response to Reply #1 |
7. As a computer Engineer I can tell you that machines have a strong conservative bias |
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BlooInBloo (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:42 PM Response to Reply #7 |
9. Dude - the time for "we're doomed" is over. We just won in a landslide. |
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Engineer4Obama (610 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:45 PM Response to Reply #9 |
13. Guess the humor wasn't conveyed correctly in my post |
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BlooInBloo (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:46 PM Response to Reply #13 |
16. Ah - oops! We had weeks of "we're doomed, they're gonna steal it".... |
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Engineer4Obama (610 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:49 PM Response to Reply #16 |
19. Its cool |
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OwnedByFerrets (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 09:40 PM Response to Reply #9 |
30. Posts like yours |
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BlooInBloo (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-21-08 09:02 AM Response to Reply #30 |
36. My apologies. We're doomed. |
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Breeze54 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:38 PM Response to Original message |
2. Yes. |
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Rahmbo (5 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:40 PM Response to Original message |
5. Possible, but improbable... I hope he manages to pull it off |
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w4rma (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:46 PM Response to Reply #5 |
15. Actually, the most likely result is that Franken wins. The demographics are in his favor. |
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BlooInBloo (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:41 PM Response to Original message |
8. Yes, read 538.com. |
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Johonny (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:44 PM Response to Original message |
12. Yes and no |
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RollWithIt (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:48 PM Response to Original message |
18. Some hope, Here's some links to good articles from Nate at fivethirtyeight.com on the subject: |
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DCBob (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 08:19 PM Response to Reply #18 |
24. Thanks! |
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DCBob (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:51 PM Response to Original message |
20. Funny. According to another post the recount is already just now showing Franken leading!! |
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scarletwoman (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:52 PM Response to Original message |
21. None that I can think of. It remains a possibility, but not a very strong one. |
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DCBob (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 08:17 PM Response to Reply #21 |
23. Yeah, that what I thought but maybe Franken can squeak it out. |
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FreeStateDemocrat (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 07:59 PM Response to Original message |
22. Yes: Older machines in St. Louis County add to Franken's total |
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XOKCowboy (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 08:46 PM Response to Original message |
25. Am I wrong but the "official" count was from the voting machines.. |
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scarletwoman (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 08:57 PM Response to Reply #25 |
26. Minnesota has an all paper ballot voting system. The only machines we have are for |
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XOKCowboy (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 10:01 PM Response to Reply #26 |
34. Thank you very much for the info... |
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scarletwoman (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 10:11 PM Response to Reply #34 |
35. As a Minnesotan, I am damn proud of our election system. I think we are a model for the whole nation |
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Barack_America (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 09:14 PM Response to Original message |
28. About as likely as the US electing a black man President. |
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IsItJustMe (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 09:55 PM Response to Reply #28 |
32. Bingo!!! Right answer!!! |
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Flute (10 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 09:27 PM Response to Original message |
29. The trend favors Franken |
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ShadowLiberal (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-19-08 09:55 PM Response to Original message |
31. According to 538.com there's 2 factors determining the winner here |
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