Our friends at Public Policy Polling have a pair of new Texas polls out this week. Let's have a look.
First, the presumably open seat Senate race (2/18-20, registered voters):
John Sharp (D): 36
David Dewhurst (R): 42
Undecided: 22
John Sharp (D): 36
Greg Abbott (R): 44
Undecided: 19
John Sharp (D): 37
Florence Shapiro (R): 36
Undecided: 29
Bill White (D): 37
David Dewhurst (R): 42
Undecided: 21
Bill White (D): 36
Greg Abbott (R): 42
Undecided: 22
Bill White (D): 36
Florence Shapiro (R): 37
Undecided: 27
(MoE: ±2.6%)
Need a scorecard? Here you go:
Former state Comptroller John Sharp
Houston Mayor Bill White
Lt. Governor David Dewhurst
Attorney General Greg Abbott
State Senator Florence Shapiro (Dallas/Fort Worth area)
Lots of numbers here, but unfortunately, all of this information may not be of much use to us at this point for a number of reasons: 1) Neither Abbott nor Dewhurst have announced their intentions to run, but also; 2) Assuming Hutchison resigns and a special election occurs, we'll be first have to deal with a massive jungle-type primary with potentially dozens of candidates (Democrat, Republican, and freakazoid alike) throwing their ten-gallon hats into the pen. The top two will then advance to a run-off, so the events that lead us there could easily throw us all for a loop.
However, the immediate takeaway is that White and Sharp start off on nearly equal footing -- their favorability ratings are a rough match (33-25 for Sharp and 31-26 for White), but both also have the most room to grow in this field in terms of name recognition -- a little over 40% of voters don't know diddly about either man, while Abbott and Dewhurst are known to 68% and 73% of respondents, respectively. (Unsurprisingly, though, Shapiro leads on this score with a 48% "not sure" rating.)
Oh, and speaking of that brewing gubernatorial primary battle... Hutchison is creaming Perry (2/18-20, likely GOP primary voters):
Kay Bailey Hutchison (R): 56
Rick Perry (R-inc): 31
Undecided: 13
(MoE: ±3.5%)
Things are looking pretty grim for Perr-Perr, though who knows how nasty this primary could get.
http://www.swingstateproject.com