New KCCI Iowa Poll

[BrewCrew]

This is an actual telephone survey were the callers talks to voters. Unlike the WHO-TV poll posted below which asks the person who answers the phone to engage in a touch-tone response, so I trust this poll a bit more since I'm more certain that actual caucus goers were talked to. anyway. It looks like a real barn burner in IA. Dean still lead, but Gep is within the margin. Plus, Kerry is looking like he's getting stronger.

This is a lot different from WHO in regards to Edwards. Not sure what to make of that???


Dean 29 (26)
Gephardt 25 (26)
Kerry 18 (15)
Edwards 8 (8)
Kucinich 2
Clark 3
Lieberman 2

Poll: Dean, Gephardt battling for lead in Iowa, Kerry third (AP)

sfgate.com/article.cgi?file=/news/archive/2004/01/08/politics1803EST0725.DTL

"Dean, the former Vermont governor, was at 29 percent, while Gephardt, the Missouri congressman, was at 25 percent, in the poll conducted for KCCI-TV by Research 2000.

Kerry, a Massachusetts senator, was at 18 percent and the remaining candidates were in single digits. That's similar to the order in a similar poll in October.

Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina, was at 8 percent, and Wesley Clark, who is not competing in Iowa, was at 3 percent. Sen. Joe Lieberman of Connecticut, who also is bypassing the state, and Rep. Dennis Kucinich of Ohio were at 2 percent."

The poll of 404 Iowa Democrats who say they're likely to vote in the caucuses was taken Jan. 5-7 and had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.

[slinkerwink]

1. the margin of error is still huge though...

and it seems to confirm the other poll I posted though.

[CMT]

2. I've always said that Iowa would be close

and now two polls tonight confirm this point. Dean is still leading but looking over his shoulder. It just means Dean and his campaign will continue to work as hard as they can. And it makes the Tom Harkin endorsement even more crucial to whoever gets it.

also note that in this poll, Dean and Kerry have gained some ground, but not Gep.

[BrewCrew]

3. yep

it all depends on who can get their vote out that night. i think the top 3 all have a shot at winning. Kerry of course has the most ground to make up, and his organization isnt as strong as Dean or Dick's, but he's now putting all his eggs into Iowa. So who knows? Dean is still the favorite and leading.

[slinkerwink]

4. same here too

[maddezmom]

5. close to the other one

it's going to be a tight one. :)

[NewYorkerfromMass]

6. Edwards not as high as in other poll

He is 100% higher in the other one, which is why I don't place much stock in these things.