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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-04-09 04:43 PM
Original message
The Dems did okay yesterday
Well, except for Virginia, but remember Deeds ran against President Obama and against health care reform. It was his campaign that didn't inspire the Democratic base to turn out. If he had run as a true Democrat my guess is that he might have done better--perhaps not win--but certainly better.

In New Jersey, Gov. Corzine lost by 4-points. It wasn't that long ago that polls showed him down by 15-20 points and his approval rating is at 30%. It was a personal loss for him not an anti-Obama vote. In fact, despite this Dems only lost one seat in the State Legislative races leaving dems with a 47-33 advantage in the assembly.

In Congressional races the Dems won 2 out of 2 and in NY-23 gained a Republican seat for the first time since the Civil War, which the media has convieniently forgotten. And in fact it wasn't all that close. The Democrat won by 11,000 votes. Obviously this was an anti-Republican victory.

From Daily Kos:
CA-10: No, the outcome of the race was not a surprise, but the margin may well have been. Republican David Harmer had raised a lot of money, more than enough to be competitive. Polls showed that the race might fall into the single digits. It did not. Democrat John Garamendi scored a fairly decisive win. What's more--Garamendi is likely to be a political upgrade from former occupant Ellen Tauscher, who maddened progressives often with her stubborn belief that she was still representing a 50/50 district. Garamendi is liable to, at long last, be a strong progressive representing a progressive district.

LOCAL ELECTIONS: Leaving aside the amazing spectacle of the totally unsung Bill Thompson coming within five points of the $100 million man in New York City, there was a lot of reasons for Democrats to smile in Mayoral races. For the first time in a long time, a Democrat will lead Charlotte, North Carolina, as African-American Democrat Anthony Foxx scored a narrow win over Republican John Lassiter. Democrats also held onto Chapel Hill, in a race many expected to fall to the GOP. Democrat Mark Mallory also survived a very competitive re-election race in Cincinnati.
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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-04-09 04:49 PM
Response to Original message
1. Thanks for your analysis, WIDEM..
There hasn't been a Dem winning in New York District 23 since 1852!

<snip>

"Amazing Political History of NY-23"
by silver spring

Share this on Twitter - Amazing Political History of NY-23 Sat Jun 06, 2009 at 01:11:22 PM PST
I love political geography and political history. So, something seemed out of line when I recently read diaries on several sites regarding the soon-to-be vacancy of New York's 23rd Congressional District, made possible by the appointment of John McHugh to become Secretary of the Army -- several diaries mentioned that the district hasn't been represented by a Democrat in a quarter century or so. Perhaps parts of the district haven't elected a Democrat in 25 or so years, but it seemed to me that most of the district hasn't been Democratic-held since much earlier times. I decided to do a little research.

<much more>
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2009/6/6/739538/-Amazing-Political-History-of-NY-23

And, isn't it also amazing that the two Dems seats we won yesterday were vacated bc PO appointed them to postions in his admin and now we a Dem in NY and a Liberal in Cali?:)
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-04-09 04:51 PM
Response to Original message
2. Corzine was unpopular and Deeds was so
weak he thought that running as a Republican would help him.

Anyone trying to compare the dynamics of these two races are simply trying to spin a trend.





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Proud Liberal Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-04-09 08:12 PM
Response to Reply #2
11. Running and acting like a Repub makes one weak
Edited on Wed Nov-04-09 08:16 PM by Proud Liberal Dem
Some of the "Blue Dogs" in Congress should re-evaluate themselves in light of Deeds and his distancing himself from President Obama and "liberal" initiatives like HCR. If you don't talk like a Democrat, and don't vote like a Democrat, then HOW exactly are you a Democrat? More importantly, how are you going to get Democrats to work and vote for you. Some people like myself might vote for somebody like Bayh (*ugh*) just to block an even worse Repub and ensure a numerical majority for the Democrats so we don't have to relive the spectacle of the Republican Whitewater/Lewinsky craziness of the 1990's. My theory is that "Blue Dog" Democrats for me are basically people from a conservative state (or district) whom are just a little too "nice" or don't possess enough hatred, intolerance, and/or "killer instinct" to be fully accepted as a member of the Republican Party. I still don't see how the few moderate/sensible Republicans like Lugar, Snowe, Collins, and probably some others manage to stay members of that party, particularly when we have some Democrats whom are, in some cases, just as "conservative" as they are. :shrug:
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calimary Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-04-09 04:56 PM
Response to Original message
3. John Garamendi was Insurance Commissioner out here.
Widely respected, expected to be a force for the good in the health care debate. Definitely one of the good guys. We need more like him.

:thumbsup:
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-04-09 04:57 PM
Response to Original message
4. Nice summary
I learned something in this post - thanks.
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wroberts189 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-04-09 05:00 PM
Response to Original message
5. Thanks .. I was feeling quite down about our local races...

Democrats lose their grip on New London City Council
http://theday.com/article/20091104/NWS01/311049919/1018

GOP gains ground in Groton
http://theday.com/article/20091104/NWS01/311049924/1044

Montville voters dump Democrats
http://theday.com/article/20091104/NWS01/311049883/1019&town=


Those are just 3 .. there are more.


Land of the Lie-berman


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krawhitham Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-04-09 07:05 PM
Response to Original message
6. 1st win for DEM in New York’s 23rd district in over a 100 years
Yeah they did OK
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tabbycat31 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-04-09 07:13 PM
Response to Original message
7. not here
Christie had coattails in our county and we were creamed top to bottom
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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-04-09 07:22 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. "All was not lost in New Jersey"..
<snip>

"Despite losing the governor’s office, Democrats staved off Republican challenges in several battleground districts Tuesday, maintaining almost a decade of dominance in the state Assembly.

<...>

The Assembly went into the election with 48 Democrats and 32 Republicans. The Democrat-controlled state Senate is not up for election until 2011."

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x8733151
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tabbycat31 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-04-09 07:46 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. in Monmouth County it was
We lost control of the Freeholder board, and all of our assembly races. Many of our locals lost too
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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-04-09 07:50 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. Sorry to read that..
I hope they don't screw it up too much.
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