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Newsweek Kerry leads 47-45(3-way) Kerry 49-46 (head to head)

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59millionmorons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:10 PM
Original message
Newsweek Kerry leads 47-45(3-way) Kerry 49-46 (head to head)
Edited on Sat Oct-02-04 04:24 PM by demdem
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tomfodw Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:11 PM
Response to Original message
1. THAT IS FUCKING AWESOME!
Wowowowowowowwowow!
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slinkerwink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:11 PM
Response to Original message
2. YES! take that, you fucking freepers!
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NYC Liberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:12 PM
Response to Original message
3. Only the beginning...
Edited on Sat Oct-02-04 04:12 PM by NYC Liberal
slowly, but surely, it's turning around.

:bounce:
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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:12 PM
Response to Original message
4. details here - link
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simpsonsbuff Donating Member (45 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:12 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. Just in case u want it here
Edited on Sun Oct-03-04 08:13 AM by Skinner
NEWSWEEK POLL: BUSH LEAD GONE
Sat Oct 02 2004 16:42:32 ET

   New York-Sixty-one percent of Americans who watched the first presidential debate on September 30 say Sen. John Kerry won; 19 percent say President George W. Bush won and 16 percent say they tied, according to the latest Newsweek Poll which was conducted after the debate ended. Fifty-six percent say Kerry did better than they expected; 11 percent say so for Bush. Thirty-eight percent say Bush did worse than expected;  3 percent say so for Kerry, the poll shows.

        The debate erased the lead the Bush/Cheney ticket has held over Kerry/Edwards in the Newsweek Poll since the Republican convention. In a three-way trial heat including Ralph Nader/Peter Camejo, among registered voters Kerry/Edwards leads Bush/Cheney 47 percent v. 45 percent with 2 percent for Nader/Camejo. In a two-way heat, Kerry/Edwards leads 49 percent v. 46 percent for Bush/Cheney, the poll shows.

        A 62-percent majority of viewers says Kerry seemed more confident and self-assured (26% say so for Bush) and 51 percent say Kerry had better command of issues and facts (37% for Bush). Forty-seven percent say Kerry seemed more personally likeable (41 % for Bush) and 49 percent say Kerry came closer to reflecting their own views on most foreign policy issues (43% for Bush). The two were nearly even on several other points, including who came across as a strong leader (47% Kerry, 44% Bush) and who had a better plan for dealing with the situation in Iraq (45% for both). Forty percent of viewers thought Kerry was too wordy and 57 percent thought Bush was too repetitive.

        Fifty-seven percent of all poll respondents say they are dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time. Bush's job approval rating dropped two points from the Sept. 9-10 Newsweek Poll to 46 percent-a 6-point drop since the poll taken during and after the Republican convention. Forty-eight percent of registered voters polled say they would not like to see Bush re-elected but almost as many (46%) say they would.

 EDITED BY ADMIN: COPYRIGHT
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Moderator DU Moderator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:45 PM
Response to Reply #6
26. copyright infringement
simpsonsbuff: Please be aware that DU copyright rules require that excerpts of copyrighted material be limited to four paragraphs and must include a link to the original source.
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THUNDER HANDS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:12 PM
Response to Original message
5. WOOHOOO
What's that, like an 8-10 point swing?
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:19 PM
Response to Reply #5
10. Yepper. You think the pundits will report it as a huge swing for Kerry
on the heels of the debate??? Whores! The lot of them. :puke:
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sonicx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:25 PM
Response to Reply #10
16. no they will say...
'Maybe bush didn't lead that much afterall' :eyes:
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bagnana Donating Member (858 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:13 PM
Response to Reply #16
32. no, they will say "race too close to call. Tied."
That's what they will say.
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AP Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:22 PM
Response to Reply #5
11. Funny that the article doesn't tell you the swing.
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Cooley Hurd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:13 PM
Response to Original message
7. And I'll bet that's INCLUDING oversampling of Repugs...
...which means LANDSLIDE!!!!:party:::thumbsup:
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sonicx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:15 PM
Response to Original message
8. This is a good lead: not too big. not too small.
lots of room to gain for Nov!!!!

:toast::toast:
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tomfodw Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:15 PM
Response to Original message
9. Of course, the horse race poll is not the one that matters
It's the 50 state polls that matter. Plus, Kerry has to really this time, no shit, not surrender the momentum he has gained from Thursday night.
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sonicx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:24 PM
Response to Reply #9
14. yup, but...
national polls in kerry's favor at least take away the perception(from the corporate media) that he's doomed.

i never thought for a second that Kerry was done more than 3 or 4 after the RNC.
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MazeRat7 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:23 PM
Response to Original message
12. In the words of Mr. Wolf from Pulp Fiction....
Let's not start sucking each others dicks just yet.....

MZr7
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saracat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:23 PM
Response to Original message
13. Drudge. They are playing us.
I am happy but I don't trust them. Trust but verify. And we won't be able to verify till the election, the only poll that counts!
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AP Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:24 PM
Response to Original message
15. Looking at those numbers on who thinks which issues are most important,
you have to guess that Kerry will shoot up another 10 points after the domestic policy debate.

These numbers are good for Kerry and they come after a debate on Kerry's weaker suit (foreign policy and terror).

He and Johnny Reid should kick ass on the jobs, education, health care debate. That'll show in the polls even more than the last debate.
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johnnyrocket Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:26 PM
Response to Original message
17. That is FUCKING SWEEEEET!!!!....Pardon my Cheney.
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xyboymil Donating Member (404 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:31 PM
Response to Original message
18. Just reported on MSNBC....Bush lead gone, 1st time Kerry's lead since RNC!
Edited on Sat Oct-02-04 04:31 PM by xyboymil
YES YES YES YES YES YES!!!!!~

Kiss MAH ASS: Shawn Hannity, Rush, Bill Orielly, Mark Belling, Wolf BLitzer and all the other whores!

:toast:
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DougieZero Donating Member (372 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:34 PM
Response to Original message
19. O'Reilly and Fox
Edited on Sat Oct-02-04 04:34 PM by DougieZero
The spin yesterday was It was style over substance and the American people were tricked.

Sounds a tad "elitist" eh?
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TheWebHead Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:37 PM
Response to Original message
20. complete press release
Edited on Sat Oct-02-04 04:39 PM by TheWebHead
http://prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=104&STORY=/www/story/10-02-2004/0002263797&EDATE=

...look at the sampling:

N = 1,013 Registered Voters
Margin of error: plus or minus 4
Interviewing dates: September 30-October 2, 2004 (interviewing on 9/30
limited to the Pacific and Mountain time zones after the presidential
debate concluded)

SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR TOTAL ADULTS:
1,144 Total adults (plus or minus 3)

SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR REGISTERED VOTERS SUBGROUPS:
1,013 Total Registered voters (plus or minus 4)

481 Men (plus or minus 5)
532 Women (plus or minus 5)

345 Republicans (plus or minus 6)
364 Democrats (plus or minus 6)
278 Independents (plus or minus 7)

SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR DEBATE VIEWERS SUBGROUPS:
770 Debate viewers (those who say they watched at least some of the
debate) (plus or minus 4.1)

369 Men (plus or minus 6)
401 Women (plus or minus 6)

265 Republicans (plus or minus 7)
274 Democrats (plus or minus 7)
215 Independents (plus or minus 8)

... more Democrats than republicans polled... FINALLY
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sonicx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:42 PM
Response to Reply #20
24. much better!!!
newsweek knew there was never a double digit lead!! HA!!
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Bleacher Creature Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:39 PM
Response to Original message
21. Again I say. . .
Screw the polls. Gallup, Newsweek and Time were flawed before and they are flawed now. All this poll does is give people the feeling that Kerry has the momentum, which is great because of the people who like to be on the winning side.

Kerry was the stronger candidate when the polls had him down, and he's the stronger candidate now that he's up. But after weeks of reading how repulsive some of these operations are (particularly Gallup) I refuse to celebrate anything connected with them.
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TheWebHead Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:40 PM
Response to Reply #21
23. yeah but before the sampling was fucked up
this time their polling more Democrats than republicans, in line w/ '00 popular vote.
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Bleacher Creature Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:48 PM
Response to Reply #23
27. I'm sure the poll is more accurate now.
Although I still think that it is off because of the new voters.

My point was more that I just despise the way they appear to be manipulating things. Just because they've now come back to reality, it doesn't change the fact that they could go back to oversampling Republicans tomorrow if they wanted to show some sort of great Bush comeback.
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sonicx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:50 PM
Response to Reply #27
29. you're damn right about that...
i'll bet Gallup's next poll will still have a Bush lead. :grr:
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sonicx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:44 PM
Response to Reply #21
25. I celebrate polls in Kerry's favor(even shit Gallup ones) because
it gives the percepton in the media that he has the momemtum.
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59millionmorons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:50 PM
Response to Reply #25
30. Exactly
The poll doesnt mean crap to me. It's the buzz that will be in the media is priceless.
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Demi_Babe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:39 PM
Response to Original message
22. WOOOOOOOHOOOOOOOO
:-)
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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:49 PM
Response to Original message
28. I still hate the polls.
:shrug:
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:53 PM
Response to Original message
31. WOOOOO HOOOOO!
Trending our way. Now, let's keep the heat on! No mercy!
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