Bush still has a wide lead in Alabama, but it's shrinking

[Syrinx]

Latest Rasmussen poll has Bush up by 14. But that's down from 21 last month. And Kerry leads independent voters in the state by 20.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Alabama%20July%2011.htm

[fearnobush]

1. Bush only has a 14 pt. lead in Alabama!

That almost puts Alabama in the close range.

[amber dog democrat]

2. More are getting wise to him

pretty is as pretty does.

[Jo March]

3. Oh, thank you, God!

More and more people are waking up to this man's insanity. How can people still support him? It's amazing to me.

[bamacrat]

4. i hope

the day will come that Alabama becomes a democratic stronghold but i fear that will never happen because of the close minded bible belters here. which is sad.

[daddybear]

7. Bible belters

TRUST me, all of us Bible belters are NOT Bush fans or Repub fans AT ALL!!! In fact, I firmly believe that Bush is a hypocrite from the word go... and if he DID know the Word, he would know he can cry peace all he wants and there will be NO PEACE... no matter how many little countries he overruns in the name of oil and his cronies. He uses the "christian" (small c on purpose) as a crutch WHEN HE NEEDS IT... other wise he is busy calling people "a**h***s" etc...and talking like the murdering waste of space that he is...
So, no way should you make such a a blanket statement...we Bible thumpers <g> are out here slugging away WITH ya...remember, all who cry "Lord, Lord" are not necessarily HIS own...

[Syrinx]

5. Down to 11

That's still too much, but at least we're heading in the left direction. ;)

Alabama: Bush 53% Kerry 42%

State data from National Survey of 13,000 Likely Voters

August 1-26, 2004

Alabama 2004

Presidential Ballot
Bush 53%
Kerry 42%
Other 1%
Not Sure 4%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Alabama%20August%2028.htm

[quaoar]

6. Polls in Alabama

Are not always that reliable. Remember that polls showed Riley leading Siegelman by as much as 10 points late in the governor's race. Black turnout is the wild card. It can be anywhere from 15 to 25 percent of the vote.

So, it could be a lot closer than 11 percent. Can we win it? Only if the perfect storm comes along (high black turnout, disillusioned Republicans, etc.) But, hey, sometimes it does come along.

If only Roy Moore was on the ballot. LOL

[BamaLefty]

8. The '08 Campaign Hopes

If we can get the Bush lead down to single digits this time around... it will give AL some hope for 2008!

[daddybear]

9. Watch these close...

But there are two other key races to watch: Alaska and Louisiana. In Alaska, the incumbent, Lisa Murkowski, was appointed to her seat by her Dad, the governor of Alaska, a move not cheered by all Alaskans. Although she is the incumbent, she wasn't elected and she is facing a popular two-term Democratic ex-governor, Tony Knowles. The polls put Knowles slightly ahead at the moment. This could be another Democratic pickup.

Louisiana is a strange kettle of (Cajun-style) fish. Senatorial elections there are nonpartisan and if nobody gets 50% of the vote on Nov. 2, there will be a runoff on a Saturday in early Dec. Currently, the only Republican in the race, David Vitter, has better poll numbers than the two major Democrats, Chris John and John Kennedy, combined, so the spreadsheet reflects this seat as a GOP win. But it is worth noting that both current senators are Democrats, as is the governor. Furthermore, Louisiana has never elected a Republican to the Senate in its entire history. Not once, ever. When it becomes a one-on-one race in the runoff, the Democrat always squeaks through.