http://www.sptimes.com/2008/01/14/State/Who_can_win_Florida.shtmlSo, the Times field-tested Obama and Clinton against the recipe. In a random survey of Democratic politicians in conservative, or at least politically competitive, areas of the state, we found ambivalence and uncertainty over which leading Democrat would have a better shot at winning Florida in November.
Clinton has high negative ratings, but she also excites many female voters and die-hard Democrats and, polls suggest, could do particularly well among Cuban-Americans in South Florida.
Polls show Obama has low negative ratings and is popular among crucial independent and swing voters. But he has little conventional experience, and who knows how he would withstand tens of millions of dollars of negative ads.
"I have never in my life been so puzzled. I could give 10 arguments each way," said former Lt. Gov. Wayne Mixson, a conservative Democrat in Tallahassee, when asked who would be stronger in North Florida. "I'm inclined to vote for Obama. He's new, he's fresh."