What will re-districting bring?

[Bluzmann57]

Quite frankly, with the idiots, er, repukes in charge, I have a real bad feeling about the coming redrawing of our Congressional districts. Since we are losing a seat, I suspect that Braley and Loebsack will be either forced to battle it out between the two of them, or one of them will have to step down. Because you know damn well that king and latham will not be redistricted out. And Boswell is fairly old and in Des Moines so they probably don't care much about him. But Braley and Loebsack, now they are another story altogether. Both Liberal, both actually try to do what the majority of people in their districts ask for. Can't have that.
Thoughts? One thought is that Braley continues to make a name for himself and either runs for Senator in 2016, or gets some sort of position in the Obama administration. But it is only a thought and I may be wrong. Certainly wouldn't be the first time.

[IADEMO2004]

1. King not that well loved by republicans

2 of 3 didn't want him his first election and republicans in the fifth district will vote how ever they are told. The 5th could be split between the 3rd and 4th for two solid republican seats. Western Iowa could just as well be Nebraska or Oklahoma. Any dumb ass will do over here.

[progressoid]

2. Hey, that's not nice.

But it's true - any dumb ass will do over here. :sigh:

I know a few Repubs that say they don't like King but I doubt they ever voted for a Dem instead of him.

[progressoid]

3. Here's some guys' guess...Braley, Loebsack and Boswell all keep their jobs

District 1 - Bruce Braley (D-Waterloo) -- district expands in area but stays Democratic-leaning, as would any northeastern Iowa seat.

District 2 - Dave Loebsack (D-Mount Vernon) -- but this district still stays an inch more Democratic.

District 3 - Leonard Boswell (D-Des Moines) vs. Tom Latham (R-Ames) -- competitive seat, probably voted for Obama by a 7-to-10-point margin, but would be a tossup in most election years. Both Reps. retain their geographical base, but Latham probably has a stronger record of winning over tough territory.

District 4 - Steve King (R-Kiron) -- stays the most Republican district, by far.

Iowa was probably the easiest state I've yet tinkered with, as counties were kept whole and the independent commission system means that I was able to suspend political considerations to some degree. I really think the final map will not look radically different than the above.


edit: http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4547/


I think this might be plausible.

[Peacetrain]

4. We will just be toast here on the western border..

[rurallib]

5. most population gains in the east and in cities

I suspect that map above may be fairly close.
Also, i suspect on the state level that it may be kinder to Dems than expected because of gains in cities.

[kdtroxel]

6. Please Redistrict Boswell Gone

Please redistrict Boswell out of office. No one will run against him in the primaries due to his harsh treatment of his previous challenger, Ed Fallon. When Fallon ran vs. Boswell, the incumbent refused to debate Ed twelve times. Boswell has huge resources of PAC money to run for re-elections, while all challengers run shoe string budgets. The Boswell situation is a perfect example why we need congressional term limits. Boswell the do nothing, big party line voter, who rarely ever speaks on the floor of the House of Representatives. I feel so completely unrepresented by this individual. A man who voted to continue the Afghan War last March, a man who thinks war is glorious.