From
http://siegementality.blogspot.com/2006_10_01_siegementality_archive.html the pundits take notice of ks-02
Over the past few months, Nancy Boyda's campaign to unseat Representative Jim Ryun has gone from impossible to longshot to nail-biter. At first, most observors scoffed when the Boyda campaign released an internal poll showing her in a statistical dead-heat with the former track star. But the deafening silence from Ryun's handlers spoke volumes. A visit from Vice President Cheney raised more eyebrows. Why would the vaunted veep take time out of his busy schedule to help an incumbent in a safe seat, particularly when there are so many recognized endangered Republican incumbents who could use his help? Then Boyda released yet another poll showing the race within her grasp.
Today, well respected political prognisticator Charlie Cook confirmed that a Boyda victory is not the stuff of fantasy. His rankings of the 50 Most Competitive House Races have been expanded to 60, and the Boyda/Ryun matchup slips in at number 59:
With apologies to our editors, we're expanding the list to 60 races. At this point at least that many are in play and, frankly, we could have gone to 75. Part of this field expansion is due to Democrats getting more fired up and therefore coming home earlier in polling. So, for instance, in a place like Kansas-02, the Democrat already has 41 percent compared to the incumbent Republican's 45 percent. The undecideds are probably too Republican for the Democrat to win, but still, the numbers aren't lying right now.
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Ryun supporters will scoff that barely slipping in to an expanded 60-seat ranking is hardly something to crow about. But they would do well to remember: nobody thought this seat was competitive six months ago. KS-02 could be shaping up to be one of 2006's biggest upsets.