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But there are two other key races to watch: Alaska and Louisiana. In Alaska, the incumbent, Lisa Murkowski, was appointed to her seat by her Dad, the governor of Alaska, a move not cheered by all Alaskans. Although she is the incumbent, she wasn't elected and she is facing a popular two-term Democratic ex-governor, Tony Knowles. The polls put Knowles slightly ahead at the moment. This could be another Democratic pickup.
Louisiana is a strange kettle of (Cajun-style) fish. Senatorial elections there are nonpartisan and if nobody gets 50% of the vote on Nov. 2, there will be a runoff on a Saturday in early Dec. Currently, the only Republican in the race, David Vitter, has better poll numbers than the two major Democrats, Chris John and John Kennedy, combined, so the spreadsheet reflects this seat as a GOP win. But it is worth noting that both current senators are Democrats, as is the governor. Furthermore, Louisiana has never elected a Republican to the Senate in its entire history. Not once, ever. When it becomes a one-on-one race in the runoff, the Democrat always squeaks through.
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