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Political reality is that we need a ticket that expand the map beyond 18-20 blue states into red states, especially in the midwest and west, and even into the south. Hillary and Obama are very risky on this reality. What red states do they turn blue? Indeed, there are close blue states that could even be lost. I just see Edwards as the most electable candidate in the Dem field right now and the one with the best chance to bring in the moderates and Independents, and even some Republicans, that we will need to expand the map and win. If the R's go with Guiliani and/or McCain they will still be VERY formidable even with the Bush problems. The vote for President is our most personal vote. People want a "strong" national leader, and like it or not they also look at tradition on race and gender. People don't want a leader seen as too "liberal". We learned that lesson with McGovern, Mondale, Dukakis, and to some degree Kerry as well. Americans are discriminating and analytical, but they also vote their heart and gut. They were willing to swallow Bush again in '04, albeit reluctantly, because he was seen as strong leader. McCain, Guiliani, and Romney all have cross-over appeal. If any combination of the above is on the R ticket they will be VERY well financed, VERY focused, and VERY formidable. Edwards is a white male southerner with a fairly moderate voting history, great personal appeal, and now a veteran of national politics but still enough of an outsider to appeal to a broad electorate. With a moderate like Bayh on the ticket and a solid campaign team (something Kerry sorely lacked) they would be tough to beat. We need a ticket that can beat the likes of McCain and Guiliani, a VERY tall political order even with the Bush liabilities, in a nation-wide presidential election. (Again, please believe I'd love to see Hillary or Obama too as president, but just honestly think it would be a HUGE upward climb for either on the national scene.)
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